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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

When did Chris Bustus start making iowa snow maps!??? ?! Riding the GFS to glory, is not smart! Euro shifted south, and I think the NAMs did slightly! F thisDE451379-BA76-4A56-A150-EB1232DE91A7.png
 
It's sad how we can lock into a horrible pattern for weeks or even months, but when we finally do get a good pattern it's gone in 7-10 days every single time.
That’s winter brother. We got 7-10days to score or we get 0.0 every year.
 
Is the -NAO in the LR around Christmastime going to verify or is it another mirage? It will probably all disappear next run.
 
For all these heat maps it's still cold ?

I guess it's the opposite of the usual like all the snow maps and it's warm out
 
For all these heat maps it's still cold ?

I guess it's the opposite of the usual like all the snow maps and it's warm out

Indeed.

It's going to be 77 here in a few days, but today was your typical cold, wet, and raw day that seems to happen too much in the winter without a shot at snow lately.
 
3 years ago tonight it was ripping fatties here. I remember it flipped from rain to all snow and we accumulated quick. I was sure when I went to bed that I was going to wake up to 6+..little did I know we were going to toe the rain snow line for the next 8 hours. Woke up to a sloppy 2”. Areas just to my south got nothing.A220DE78-378F-4209-A34B-DCF302EC7702.jpeg
 
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I currently have 14 weather apps on my phone. Now I know anything past 3 days is basically a lie right? I will say, however, it’s fun to look 2 weeks down the road on the weather channel app that I believe uses the GFS because it updates at 8:00 am and 2 pm etc. My Accu Weather app will even give snow amounts 1 month out but we all know that if it shows 23” of snow 3 weeks from now the reality is it could very well be 75° and sunny upon the arrival of that day. Here’s to January 25, 2000 in Raleigh, NC...


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Doncane 2.0 ?

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_52.png
 
A few GEFS members with a white Christmas as well .. I’m continuing to push for a pattern change around 25-1st.
I gotta admit, this is a new approach, let's see if it works out..... although I wouldn't get too pushy with upper management ;)
 
Everything way out can certainly change, but even though stuff may be changing up top, to me it looks the same for the SE as far as the eye can see. The Pacific ridge is still too far west and needs to scoot further east and poleward hopefully. Get the PNA at least neutral and stop the dump out west.

Good to see more red showing up on the top of the world, but hoping it gets in a better configuration for the SE the following week. Maybe this is the start. ??‍♂️

gfs-ens_z500a_nhem_65.png
Why are you crapping in our cheerios?
 
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