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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

Hopefully precip is more expansive. Here is control run.

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Still sucks haha. I've got 2 hopes for my area, 1) that coastal low is a smidge more west and precip just a tick more expansive to the W/NW, honestly looking at the Euro, this seems doable but I guess the upper energy out west is impinging on the moisture transport ?‍♂️ 2) that the upper level system is able to stay intact and translate east. The backside bands with the last system actually held up better than most modelling but even with that I'm grasping for an inch at best meh
prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_ma.png
 
As others have said, cold air does not look to be in short supply for the foreseeable future. I'll have to let @GaWx continue to take the lead on the uber-long range stuff, but we look good in terms of having cold around and events to track over the next couple of weeks at least.

I picked the 384 6z GFS, which obviously is fantasy land, but you can pretty much take your pick of frames before that on whatever your model of choice is. Fun times.

View attachment 111208
Still has to be cold enough and timed perfectly. Not holding my breath.
 
Yeah I think if you’re from AL and more so GA climo is just against you. The rug pull is inevitable. The mountains shield us. The cold press is too much or not enough. Western portions of the Deep South have a much better shot than we do.

It’s pointless for us to even look at anything more than 5 days out that gives us the goods.


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