Setup isn't terribly dissimilar. This is why central NC needs the earlier tilt and bomb out S of ILM otherwise there's not much to get precip going other than a dying band racing east from the piedmontSeems IIRC the Dec 2000 (was it 2000?) debacle was similar in that models showed the upper level energy "linking up" with a coastal then exploding over NC. I remember a well known tv met using that exact terminology but we all know what happened. Models are better, unless the coastal comes NW (which I still think it will some) then those in the middle are screwed.