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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

CAE gonna double it's yearly average Friday night combined with the previous event and that's wild. The models will allude to a bigger hit later today; bank on that with what's going on at h5. 18/00z will tell the tale.
 
I find it hard to believe that "dry slot" isn't real. Will be interesting to watch the storm thread today.
 
Yes. It seems some have forgotten that there are two different setups here. The coastal for eastern NC and the ULL possibility for interior sections. Problem is, the ULL really screws people to the East at least imo. Not sure how much closer we can get that precip/low from the coastal with the setup.
 
100% real if you don't find a way to get the coastal moisture back west
Seems IIRC the Dec 2000 (was it 2000?) debacle was similar in that models showed the upper level energy "linking up" with a coastal then exploding over NC. I remember a well known tv met using that exact terminology but we all know what happened. Models are better, unless the coastal comes NW (which I still think it will some) then those in the middle are screwed.
 
Seems IIRC the Dec 2000 (was it 2000?) debacle was similar in that models showed the upper level energy "linking up" with a coastal then exploding over NC. I remember a well known tv met using that exact terminology but we all know what happened. Models are better, unless the coastal comes NW (which I still think it will some) then those in the middle are screwed.

Well fortunately my hopes haven't been very high since the Euro has been consistent for several runs in a row now of us getting precip holed.
But good news, looks like we get to track more CLT snowfall events in February.

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom_5day-4645600.png
 
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