Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

[weatherfide]

Kinda getting that 93 vibe…..

LOL - what is that? do you mean 1893?

 

[Brent]

Wow. Looks like 50s in my backyard . My favorite snows happen in the mid 50s. One more shift and my most favorite snow in the 60s will happen .
View attachment 104414

Pretty soon it'll be a severe weather setup

 

[bigstick10]

Wow. Looks like 50s in my backyard . My favorite snows happen in the mid 50s. One more shift and my most favorite snow in the 60s will happen .
View attachment 104414

LOL, Love that warm tongue over Atlanta.

 

[LickWx]

?

It looks like everyone in Miami is just releasing one giant fart in our direction. It’s a tropical Congo line from Miami to hatteras!

 

[superjames1992]

Kinda getting that 93 vibe…..

Yeah, we could be looking at highs in the 90s for this event at this rate.

 

[wxdaniel]

View attachment 104413
IF the GFS was to happen, this would be a ridiculous gradient. I have lived in the Carolinas all my life, but i have never seen anything like that. It's just hard to buy...

Nethertheless, the ole GFS says who cares what you think, i am trucking due North. Screw the haters.

Dang 60’s in Orangeburg and 20’s in Greenville.


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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

It looks like everyone in Miami is just releasing one giant fart in our direction. It’s a tropical Congo line from Miami to hatteras!

Models not handling the transfer well. Need a minor shift 200 miles offshore and you should be good for a r/s mix as the LP moves poleward. Post pics.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Geez, that’s a mostly IP storm around Charlotte-gso, even tho models show lots of ZRView attachment 104409View attachment 104411View attachment 104412

At least when sleet piles up it looks white

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Do you still get ZR if the water is 75 degrees 850mb above your head? Asking for Lick.

 

[superjames1992]

The gradient on the GFS does seem ridiculous. RDU in the mid-50s while GSO is 30 and icing is something I don’t think I’ve ever seen before, and doesn’t seem realistic to me.

 

[Snowed In]

No need to post the sounding for my area....Clubber has already told me

 

[BullCityWx]

The gradient on the GFS does seem ridiculous. RDU in the mid-50s while GSO is 30 and icing is something I don’t think I’ve ever seen before, and doesn’t seem realistic to me.

Meanwhile it's 32 IMBY. Wild.

 

[Avalanche]

The gradient on the GFS does seem ridiculous. RDU in the mid-50s while GSO is 30 and icing is something I don’t think I’ve ever seen before, and doesn’t seem realistic to me.

Wonder if gulf stream, current ocean temps are playing a big role in models depicting that.

 

[LickWx]

Models not handling the transfer well. Need a minor shift 200 miles offshore and you should be good for a r/s mix as the LP moves poleward. Post pics.

I’ll post pics on the beach! Gon be a warm one , may have to turn the AC on. Best underwear to beat swampass ?

 

[Deleted member 609]

I surrender

 

[Snowflowxxl]

This thread is so much better than the wishcasting thread

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Please God make this winter end.

 

[Parker]

My cabin Forecast. Hope they have a generator ? ? ? View attachment 104416

Look at this Jimmy. ?

 

[wxdaniel]

We will finally get a clear picture of the NAM FGEN band with I believe the 00z run tonight .. the differences on models are already intriguing View attachment 104419View attachment 104420

I need to learn how to read those kind of maps.


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[weatherfide]

What perturbation makes this happen (see attached)? That's all I want to know today.

 

[Shaggy]

I surrender

I tried not to get sucked back in lastnight briefly but @SD @Rain Cold aren't very good friends and didn't stop me. In fact now in wondering if I get dry slotted and any chance of severe weather lol.

 

[bigstick10]

 

[Montanasnow30]

Life must be tough as an Alabama fan. You’re not getting any sympathy from the rest of us, LMAO. ?

Lol it’s cool I’m sitting up here at my ranch on the back of my 2 by 4 pickup truck drinking beer and soaking the lost all in but I’m a roll tide fan for life so it’s all good lol

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

It's nearly impossible to truly enjoy a winter storm in the south because you're always worried about something. Its never easy.

 

[jackendrickwx]

wouldn’t be surprised if things changed a lot again (not necessarily good)

 

[BufordWX]

I am just now seeing that the Nam has decided to NAM Oklahoma. Lol

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

wouldn’t be surprised if things changed a lot again (not necessarily good)

Yeah we haven’t even gotten to dive into meso models yet .. that is when we find out the truth ?

 

[jackendrickwx]

Yeah we haven’t even gotten to dive into meso models yet .. that is when we find out the truth ?

the truth is probably some front end slop followed by rain for Raleigh btw

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

I am just now seeing that the Nam has decided to NAM Oklahoma. LolView attachment 104429View attachment 104430

Are you not in school in Oklahoma anymore or do I have you confused with someone else ?

 

[BufordWX]

Are you not in school in Oklahoma anymore or do I have you confused with someone else ?

I don’t go back until next week.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Brad please quit the hyping for your own sake. 1/28/14 scared them all for life

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

the truth is probably some front end slop followed by rain for Raleigh btw

Front end snow to sleet/freezing rain .. then rain finally yes

 

[wxdaniel]

I like how one poster on the storm thread is like “this storm is over per GEFS” When in fact it still looks good for many on here. I thought these post are suppose to be on this thread? We talk about “noise” on models but dang there’s noise in the storm thread.


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[MSnowAtl]

At this point, I just want a cold rain!

 

[CyclonicFury]

In December 2018, there was a really sharp gradient across Wake County. I got a nice front end thump in MBY of around 7" but the southern and eastern parts of the county got far less, less than 2" of a snow/sleet mix in some areas. Temperatures during that event sat around 30-33 during the front end thump while with this one we could see temperatures of around 25-28. It then transitioned to a very cold rain but not much melting occurred (probably going to see a greater warmup with this one). Going to be a close call here

 

[Rain Cold]

Somebody post the Ptype map evolution of that ensemble member low that ends up 100 miles off Hatteras at 973.

 

[NoSnowATL]

My backyard STILL looks good. Every man for himself!

 

[Avalanche]

At this point, I just want a cold rain!

Thats what Im getting.

 

[KyloG]

Somebody post the Ptype map evolution of that ensemble member low that ends up 100 miles off Hatteras at 973.

For us it's still rain....that's how we roll.

 

[weatherfide]

At this point, I just want a cold rain!

45 degrees and moderate rain seems a lock. All snow in Atlanta is but a memory.