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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

metwannabe

Meanager and I don't care
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Sounds good. I confess I haven't done extensive research on which background states the ECMWF is, by a small statistical significance, too progressive or conservative for all of the various indexes, convective systems, tropical forcing mechanisms, stratospheric propagations, or H5 progressions. However, I have seen it, like the GFS, GEFS, CMC, and its own ensemble suite, frequently reverse on all of those things, especially beyond D5 or so.

Webber might be able to tell you that it has a 51% chance of being too progressive in a 2nd year La Nina, but Rain Cold can tell you that the European model is a hunk of junk at the end of its range."
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Tarheel1

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