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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

If you know me you know I love when strong high pressure builds in down the coast and we waste it85B64DAB-C531-4623-867A-F843CCCB4751.png
 
Some telling runs on tap for today. I would not be surprised to see a board wide flizzard.


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Stephenb888 said:
If I had a dollar for every time a model was “close to something big” I’d be rich.
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This pattern from a long wave perspective has been about 75% of what you want for the better part of 4-6 weeks now. But this is why our snow climo is what it is, good patterns on paper or from a continent/hemispheric pattern can get us some snow but for something memorable it has to be near perfect
 
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Hypsometric said:
I think the RGEM would have done it....
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I agree but with this look I think surface temps become an issue in most of NC and southeast at least initially. Heck surface temps look like an issue up here in Roanoke initially with what other models are projecting.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
GFS very close to my first guess I’m going to put out tonight if that’s ok! There is hope for our Raleigh viewers and Virginia folks. Unsure about the foothills but think it could be overdone there mostly non-accum.
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I’m sorry but didn’t you just say that the gfs was a horrible model yesterday? Lol
 
Hard meh. If we could back up the neutral tilt to around the Mississippi, then game on. This still looks to me to be progressive way off the coast poo with imaginary back end snows. Not buying any of it. I guess I'm just past this progressive pattern and ready for spring. It's just not working. Fool me once....

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SnowNiner said:
Hard meh. If we could back up the neutral tilt to around the Mississippi, then game on. This still looks to me to be progressive way off the coast poo with imaginary back end snows. Not buying any of it. I guess I'm just past this progressive pattern and ready for spring. It's just not working. Fool me once....

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I here ya but look at the trends my friend the trends
 
LukeBarrette said:
I agree but with this look I think surface temps become an issue in most of NC and southeast at least initially. Heck surface temps look like an issue up here in Roanoke initially with what other models are projecting.
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We can get a Fab Feb 2015-esque slush bomb out of this.

The odds are certainly stacked against us, though. Gotta get precip first, which is no guarantee! ?
 
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