Since I still have no access to the political forum, I’m going to post this here. This is based on objective analysis rather than on any political bias and will hopefully will be ok here.
1. I know many here don’t like CNN because it is very biased anti-Trump/one-sided. However, I hope some of you can appreciate the once again amazing analysis done by John King county by county. There’s simply nobody like him!
2. In 2016, King was an early clue that the results were shifting more favorably for Trump after Hillary looked good early.
3. Based on King’s analysis of NC and Ohio, Biden is so far doing significantly better than Hillary did county by county. If that were to hold, Biden very likely would win the election. However, the problem in jumping to a conclusion about this is that early voting is coming in more quickly than today’s voting at least in NC. Early voters have tended to be more heavily Dems than Election Day voters. So, that says NC/Ohio could still possibly shift back toward Trump as Election Day votes are counted.
I will say though that CNN just said that a good portion of Election Day voter results have already been counted in Ohio. That MAY mean that Trump will not gain back ground on Biden in the very crucial Ohio.
4. Trump seems to be doing well in FL, GA, and in VA, which is all the more reason that the election is still very much up in the air.