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Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread

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@Dewpoint Dan you should really be wondering , why isn’t eastern North America as warm as Southern Europe / North Africa ( similar latitudes ) , or eastern South America , or eastern Australia , at the same latitude . Since weather work by latitude , Raleigh is the same latitude as northern Morocco so we must have a similarly warm climate . Or northern Syria/ Iraq . Sydney has winters like Tallahassee even though it’s the same distance from equator as Wilmington .
 
YetAnotherRDUGuy said:
You being serious, or is this a stats joke? ?
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When you think about it though snowfall here is random and infrequent. Giving an average really sets an expectation that you are going to get near that amount per year. In realty we've seen winters between 0-30 in many our lives and I'm not sure what the SD is vs average but I'm not sure if most years fall close to the historical avg at RDU. I think using percentage chance of a snow total might make more sense
 
SD said:
When you think about it though snowfall here is random and infrequent. Giving an average really sets an expectation that you are going to get near that amount per year. In realty we've seen winters between 0-30 in many our lives and I'm not sure what the SD is vs average but I'm not sure if most years fall close to the historical avg at RDU. I think using percentage chance of a snow total might make more sense
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Yea I get it. In other words, our year to year snowfall often deviates substantially from the mean so that it's not especially useful. Caused by having a few high snowfall years which are outliers and skew the mean.

In that case, a % might make more sense.
 
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Dewpoint Dan snow rules:
1. The best window for snow in the south is early December
2. It cannot snow south of I-20 after Valentine's Day
3. If it snows at a location at the same latitude as you, it is supposed to snow where you are too
4. 1-3 inch events suck
5. Sun angle is the most important part of determining whether snowfall will stick
 
Lickwx said:
I personally don’t understand the jealousy . It’s not like Little Rock does that every year , same for San Antonio . Everyone mad San Antonio got snow but fact is they probably haven’t seen that much snow in 30 years . Massively above climo snow is hard because well, it’s massively above climo otherwise climo would be more .
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I’ve always thought getting mad about others getting more snow and/or getting less than normal snow, something which is out of anyone’s control and is actually predestined to happen regardless of model teases, is silly.

Disappointment is one thing. Actually getting mad is another.
 
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