SE Wake highly favored for blizzard conditions with the upcoming system imo
Yeah I issued a pants bursting alert for that cold rain guy who lives there .SE Wake highly favored for blizzard conditions with the upcoming system imo
I urged you to look at the nam and you called me a pessimist. Quit being a weiner
Sir you winCan’t hate the GFSView attachment 68284
I made a point to tell you to look at the nam because as you know (and you do know this regardless of what you might say) that the bigger snow maps don't usually verify. I wasn't calling you names, I wasn't questioning your character, I wasn't playing space invaders. I was pointing out that you should look at the nam instead of hugging big snow. Or at least consider it, even though you want to throw it out because it looks bad. And then you called me a pessimist. So go boil an eggBecause that is the one you keep harping on and made a point to say that because I was being optimistic over what all the other models were showing. You were being snide and condescending.
I made a point to tell you to look at the nam because as you know (and you do know this regardless of what you might say) that the bigger snow maps don't usually verify. I wasn't calling you names, I wasn't questioning your character, I wasn't playing space invaders. I was pointing out that you should look at the nam instead of hugging big snow. Or at least consider it, even though you want to throw it out because it looks bad. And then you called me a pessimist. So go boil an egg
It's a discussion forum. Discuss.How about you just not tell me what to look at and I can decide for myself what to look at and be optimistic about it if I want. Why does it matter to you so much anyway? It's pretty and ridiculous. If I want to trust the other models versus what one model is showing and be optimistic about it, then why do you have to make a point in the first place to point out the NAM and tell me to forget what the others show?
I was reading there earlier during the 12z Euro. Read some fun reactions to the clown snow maps.Something I do , and it isn’t for weak of heart is I read through the mid Atlantic board during threats . Why? Because it is in their best interest for it to snow so they will point out the things we don’t as it’s things that make it harder for us to snow . Give it a try if y’all ballsy enough lol.
Just go with the snowiest one, it’s always rightNice! Thanks. I can't keep track of all these maps. We have way too many models now.
Meet me in the Man CaveDang I almost beat you to it. It took me 5 minutes though to figure out how to post .
yeah lots of NAM low snowfall total type women being posted . I like the Gfs snow total type women please . ( I did a good job relating the two and staying on topic I think!)Meet me in the Man Cave
I know right? I just want to look out the window and see the ground white. Anything more than that is gravy.I really don’t care as to how much I see, I’m just desperate for accumulation.
I think a warm spring is coming for us , like you said the Caribbean ridge is being suppressed south because of the NAO meaning the tropics are boiling ! So when the NAO goes away it will favor ridging across the east, and as models have hinted in the long range in the past it would favor the coastal southeast a lot with warm humid conditions .Everybody getting snow from the upcoming system better enjoy it for the short amount of time they have with it, because those cold fronts that should be bringing much cooler, fall-like-weather to our region are being negated by that Caribbean ridge that model trends are indicating to strengthen over the Gulf from the tropical Pacific to the SE Coast by early February. That's in addition to the warm waters that have completely surrounded the state of Florida, and seem to be pooling in large ares of 2-6 degrees F along the Gulf Stream and NW Atlantic. Conditions are similar to early last year with the drought, and we appear to be transitioning to a record-breaking warm regime like last spring. I actually think the drought conditions will expand northward into SE.
Those strong SSTs are going to fuel that January 1 storm for the NE (currently dumping on California). The storm track for February looks to keep storms arriving from SW and NW Pacific to the MW (and SE Canada/NE US), and then cool the western subtropical Atlantic while making its way towards the UK, Spain and NE Atlantic. I would be concerned about tornado season starting early and violently from NW TX to NW GA and N. to TN and S. MO. I think the best tornado conditions are going to occur between the areas that see drought that I mentioned above, and the areas of wet weather that are likely to occur in the Ohio Valley as the Caribbean/SE Ridge flexes up the East Coast. Unless some huge cold dome comes down to East, I'd say winter is over for people south of VA, WVA, and the mountains of TN and NC, and I'm starting to see chances take dive for areas in the Northern Mid Atlantic after the 2/1 storm.
Finally, the tropics. Last year I thought the ENSO would rapidly cool based on weather patterns in Florida, as I've notice that the the weather changes several months before the onset in Florida, and transitions via SST are seemingly more rapid than when I was a child (maybe I just didn't notice). This year, I'd argue that the notion of the ENSO transitioning to a weak El Nino to be utterly fanciful. One of the signs indicating a productive hurricane season that many weather-observant lifelong Floridians point to during the Early Spring months is the drought conditions, and I've found some validity to this idea (Scientific basis being that El Nino brings wet conditions to Florida).