SimeonNC
Member
I'm always literally on the fringe omfg
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Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
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- whamby
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Brent
Member
Apparently I missed a few flakes by a few miles yup sounds about right
That's the best we ever do around here anyway not impressed
That's the best we ever do around here anyway not impressed
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Kendra still there?
iGRXY
Member
Sadly
I believe so
Lol! I checked out the GEFS LR control, and I swear, that has to be the strongest -NAO I’ve ever seen!
AO goes off the charts of the graphic!
AO goes off the charts of the graphic!
I'm dreaming of a wet Christmas.
You make my maps look like a 5 year old drew it with permanent marker that bleaches thru the paper ?
Maybe this trends better over time.. gotta have hope in this life..I'm dreaming of a wet Christmas.
I’m dreaming of teddy bridgewater not being my quarterback
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Quite a -EPO too, concurrent and persistent -NAO/-EPO usually only works when you have a strong -AO as illustrated here
Brent
Member
I'm dreaming of a wet Christmas.
More cold rain yay
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Joe Bastardi is gonna lose it when he sees the 0z Euro dumping nearly 3 feet on his house
WxBlue
Meteorologist
I'm not sure how realistic 2-3 feet totals would be... not only first couple inches of this will be from the first wave, but you also got to account for the melting of wet snow at the base & the compaction of heavy snow to reduce the snow depth. You could get 18" of snowfall and end up with 12" of snow depth when it's all over. Finally... this is a very quick moving storm. I think 12-16" is the ceiling here with couple local spots getting 16-20".
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
If you take the Euro verbatim, 2-3 feet is definitely realistic w/ up to 2.5" QPF being modeled over the mountains of central PA which will have the added benefit of orographically forced ascent which likely isn't being properly resolved (& arguably underestimated) by the model. Snow liquid ratios would also be greater than 10:1 because the low-mid level temps & thicknesses support it (at face value) on the model. 850s of -3 to -7C w/ surface temps in the mid-upper 20s despite high liquid water content snow puts central PA in the ballpark of SLRs close to 12:1 ish.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Oth, imo if the heaviest axis of snow is actually east of what the Euro shows here and is east of the spine of the apps in central PA in this particular storm and between I-95 & I-81, 2-3 feet definitely isn't happening & I'd agree in such a case that 12-16" is the more realistic ceiling
BufordWX
Member
TWC taunting me again. Lol
Excited for my 32.2 degree rain and Landrum getting a picturesque glaze
Storm5
Member
Man Philadelphia is going to get smoked Wednesday into Thursday
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Philadelphia is gonna get shafted, need to head towards north-central PA for the good stuff imo
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Here's corresponding GRAF model output snow liquid ratios (via Mike Ventrice), reaffirming the idea that SLRs will be close to 12:1 (ish) in central PA where the bullseye of QPF was shown on the 0z Euro, thus Kuchera should be used there over 10:1 maps.
(Didn’t want to put this reply in the storm thread.)
Unfortunately, I believe he lives in Leesburg, or at least he used to, which is out NW of Dulles and does a lot better than DC proper in these setups.
Unfortunately, I believe he lives in Leesburg, or at least he used to, which is out NW of Dulles and does a lot better than DC proper in these setups.
Glad to see the whole "everyone just north and west of me jackpots" will continue when I move lol
Don't worry Landrum is getting the shaft too. Just my opinion and I'm sticking to it.
Eh, I think Landrum will get that glaze. Me and you will just sit 5-10 miles south of the freezing line. And I'm cool with that
Idk we'll see. I can tell you for sure from living in CAE 5 years these short range models tease hard. The southern extent of the winter precip never worked. 48 hrs out you want the freezing line in Newberry right now and not over us. Thats just what experience with models tells me.
Lol GSP removed the ZR from my forecast, but if you do a point forecast literally half a mile up the road it has 80% ZR
Storm chasers meeting in Wilkes for onset ice storm I know a mobile home surrounded by trees we can use with kerosene heater.maybe do bojangles. @Myfrotho704_ bring the lightning camera and we go live make a lot of money to retire from this event we can sell Brad p some footage of the storm to use and other media maybe New York Times. ?
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Looks like a cold rain here Wednesday. Not really looking forward to that. But at least the ice to the west of here means things are progressing towards winter weather, and hopefully we can get in on the action down the road.
Exactly how I’m trying to look at it
Sounds sketchy ass hell. Heck I'm from the hills to but I've heard a many stories about wilkes lmao
Has anyone thought of opening up a weather center as a business with a physical location? No met degrees but big social media presence and maybe social events for the public to talk weather. Like coffee shop but with subscriptions for the public to buy weather. HQ in Wilkes.
Can I buy snowstorms from your center? I’ll drive to Wilkes County to make the purchase in person, if needed.
Ok well with enough interest I’ll try to start one in Mooresville. Profit from public buying subscriptions and coffee etc...then maybe do big private events like food to discuss storms or seasons. Charge admission to discus spring, fall, summer etc outlooks. Money goes to me and few employees to make it all happen. Large entertainment area for weenies.
Maybe do school field trips for extra revenue...just need content of storms and info for kids to learn
Once I make enough we turn it into indoor ski resort back in Wilkes with real elevation. High class. Better than Aspen.
@Myfrotho704_ could sell photos of lightning to kids in gift shop. We could be billionaire company and bring indoor ski resorts to every state in the south
Had quite a bit of thunder this morning. Snow is now on the clock
@BirdManDoomW is a treasure.
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