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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

After an epic early December snowstorm, RDU looks well on its way to its first snow-free January since 2012. Looks like won't even get a flurry tonight on the back side of the front. At least parts of AL/GA/western NC had a flurry or two this month, we had nothing. It sucks! To add insult to injury, the much-predicted very cold February looks like it will bust, and next week we could see highs above 70°F. Ugh!
 
Remember when JB was talking about the coldest 45 day period on record? Only the Midwest looks like it will be significantly BN, we suck at Arctic outbreaks too it seems. Expected to bottom out at about 20°F this week, that just isn't extreme cold to me. Not only do I expect the February "much below average" forecasts to bust, I also think the month is likely going to end up AN. Watch March be BN and we get a few flizzards like last year.
 
CyclonicFury said:
Remember when JB was talking about the coldest 45 day period on record? Only the Midwest looks like it will be significantly BN, we suck at Arctic outbreaks too it seems. Expected to bottom out at about 20°F this week, that just isn't extreme cold to me. Not only do I expect the February "much below average" forecasts to bust, I also think the month is likely going to end up AN. Watch March be BN and we get a few flizzards like last year.
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It was definitely a flizzard fest in March & right into April. NW of Raleigh had legitimate snow.
March 12 2018 NC Snowmap.png


March 13-14 2018 NC Snowmap.png
March 20-21 2018 NC Snowmap.png
March 24-25 2018 NC Snowmap.png
April 7-8 2018 NC Snowmap.png
 
After mid February it's basically over for winter storm opportunities down here in the Deep South. Sun angle gets higher and lately Februarys have been warm. I'm just thankful I got to see flakes flying at 2 am this morning. I drove over 2 hours to spend the night in the jackpot zone and only saw a dusting. I should have known that you can't count on epic snowstorms with a frontal system. On to the fantasy storms!
 
Storm5 said:
You know it’s a sh&&&& winter when there is record cold on our side of the planet and we still hit 41 degrees . Someone wake me when this horrible winter is over


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Seriously. We just spent a week tracking the most marginal piece of crap scenario where we could EVER get accumulating snow fall. I mean literally the worst.

I wish so badly that the GFS had just killed the look over the weekend so I didn’t sacrifice a minute of sleep for that crap.

I may have to log out and delete the app for a while. Like maybe till next fall.

Right after the 18z...


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ATLwxfan said:
Seriously. We just spent a week tracking the most marginal piece of crap scenario where we could EVER get accumulating snow fall. I mean literally the worst.

I wish so badly that the GFS had just killed the look over the weekend so I didn’t sacrifice a minute of sleep for that crap.

I may have to log out and delete the app for a while. Like maybe till next fall.

Right after the 18z...


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Haha....you should know not to stay up for cold front snow. You gotta own that mistake! :)
 
Going back and just reminiscing on that Feb 12, 2010 storm. I tell ya, there wasn't a better storm than that in my life time. Storm hit on a Friday, started in the afternoon and went to just after midnight. What a great memory. It didn't cause any damage or anything bad. Just a nice beautiful snowfall. Opening ceremonies were going on that night too. That was my senior year in high school. Good memories. I hope I can share a storm like that with my two little girls one day. We got 7-8 inches of snow that night and CAE just happened to be the jackpot of the entire storm.. good times, feels like a lifetime ago.
 
Yeap, my temps are climbing instead of dropping. Wutttttt o_Oo_Oo_O
 
Kylo said:
Not a bad look by Feb 10th....for what I am not sure. By this point we have 18 days of winter left. Let's face it...if it can't get cold enough in Jan/Feb to snow anymore then March is like a summer month now.

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I think it depends on where you live. I just went back and looked at snow in March for my area from 2008-2018 and 9 of them had at least a trace of snow. Yeah I know a trace isn’t much but 7 of those winters here produced a half inch or more of snow in March, and 5 of them produced 2 or more inches of snow. When winters are bleak at this point I usually look at my past marches to give me hope for the last 5 weeks of winter. Keep in mind these totals are for White House Tennessee and not for the city of Nashville itself as I’m Positive the totals aren’t as good. I’m about 40-45 minutes north of Nashville at around 900-930 feet in elevation. The elevation helps a lot whenever precipitation is falling equally at both locations.
 
olhausen said:
I think it depends on where you live. I just went back and looked at snow in March for my area from 2008-2018 and 9 of them had at least a trace of snow. Yeah I know a trace isn’t much but 7 of those winters here produced a half inch or more of snow in March, and 5 of them produced 2 or more inches of snow. When winters are bleak at this point I usually look at my past marches to give me hope for the last 5 weeks of winter. Keep in mind these totals are for White House Tennessee and not for the city of Nashville itself as I’m Positive the totals aren’t as good. I’m about 40-45 minutes north of Nashville at around 900-930 feet in elevation. The elevation helps a lot whenever precipitation is falling equally at both locations.
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I think we can see flakes in March. But, last legit snowfall, where the streets/grass was covered in March was in 2009 and that was only 3" event. Before that, I can't recall Raleigh's last 4" snowfall in March.
 
Webberweather53 said:
It was definitely a flizzard fest in March & right into April. NW of Raleigh had legitimate snow.
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I firmly believe this will happen again this year. The weeklies pattern will come to pass, probably in mid March and the NE/Mid Atlantic will score. We'll get crumbs 40 north as usual. Blocking/-NAO always seems to come in March in April, when it's juuuuuust too late. It's actually quite a strange phenomenon.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Southern Wake would obviously contend 2010 was a "good" storm too.

View attachment 14305
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It was gone the next morning, atleast where I lived. It was more of novelty winter storm after part of NC had record snowfalls that year. I was 30 miles from the 6-8 band that didn't want to move.

When was RDU's and/or CLT's last 4"+ winter storm in March? I always though March was better for Raleigh but we have had 2 6" events in Dec the past decade.
 
Kylo said:
It was gone the next morning, atleast where I lived. It was more of novelty winter storm after part of NC had record snowfalls that year. I was 30 miles from the 6-8 band that didn't want to move.

When was RDU's and/or CLT's last 4"+ winter storm in March? I always though March was better for Raleigh but we have had 2 6" events in Dec the past decade.
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Friggin sad this is the last 4"+ event in March for both before that ULL in 2009.



March 24-25 1983 NC Snowmap.gif

Before that obviously one of the greatest snowstorms of all-time second to only storms like 1927 in the state as a whole.

This map from RAH actually has several errors in it, especially in southeastern NC, needs to be amended for sure. Fayetteville for ex picked up 11" and there were near 30" amounts in/around Carteret county.
March 1-2 1980 NC Snowmap.gif
 
Kylo said:
I think we can see flakes in March. But, last legit snowfall, where the streets/grass was covered in March was in 2009 and that was only 3" event. Before that, I can't recall Raleigh's last 4" snowfall in March.
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I actually jackpotted on the 3/1/09 storm! 8”+, after an all day rain! Temp got down to 15 the next night! Stuck around about 2-3 days
 
The locals have an excuse for everything! Said last night temps would crash all afternoon here, now after sundown, it’s going to come rushing in! LOL! Like the sun caused it! Top notch forecasting!
 
My highs are 42 tomorrow and 38 Thursday. I'm forecasted to barely get in to the teens IMBY. Count me in as being not that impressed with the cold outbreak.
 
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