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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

There was also another to in feb 2013, had a mcs structure and was producing snow into the midlands, had convective features and a outflow with a cool pool
 
I bet these are flying off the shelves
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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Remember last week when I said that retrograding AK ridge was a bad sign on the long range GEFS..This is only the beginning imo
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Terrible. I can turn out the lights on winter if this is real and I can't score before February. I might really have to wish that 26th-28th storm onto at least Lafayette if not me (right now it looks good but still not great).
 
Why chase mid to long term wambulances when we could also chase decadal wambulances??

It's definitely worse than we think:

I can already see it. We have an atmospheric lag La Nina this year, but next year will be a lag Nino, until it actually turns into another Super, but far west based Nino. Then all the cold water in and around the Maritime continent from the MJO being stuck there the next 6 months will clash with the super Nino warm waters to the east and north and will create perma-convection there and giant walker cells. OLR maps will look like Jupiter's giant red spot, but purple and blue. But patience, this will lead to another SSW with the largest -NAO (-7 standard deviations) in history coming a month later. The Pac won't cooperate with it because of the Walker cells though, so 33 and rain at least for next winter. This will then melt enough of the ice in Greenland for a Bond event and then we reset and try again. By that time we will be in the bottom of the next Maunder minimum, too. With the Bond event, we may even have a new SST index in the Atlantic, but with Norse names instead of Spanish.
 
baroowoofr said:
an atmospheric lag La Nina this year
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Tbh this might actually be true with what's being discussed. The SOI numbers, MJO stalling in the warm phases, and finally if the retrograding AK ridge does happen, at least two of those, the SOI was unprecedented for what's supposed to be a Nino, and the last I heard about the AK ridge, even if it happened after then, was with 2012's very mild winter.
 
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