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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

Can we go ahead and start some speculation on next years winter? I'm sure someone has some good analogs or something.

Temperatures will be 1-5 degrees above average and rainfall will be slightly above average. The best analog is the 2018-2019 winter season.
 
WiFi is in and out here. Can someone pls check the 06z GFS and see how those anafrontal snow sprinkles are trending? Thanks
 
Any prediction for the Euro weeklies? By the way, it is no coincidence that they're released at the US Happy Hour. The Europeans know exactly what they're doing. I don't think it really takes 14 hours to run them.

Guess #2 ( just a guess) will use reverse psychology)
Week 1- warm
Week 2- warmer
Week 3- summer
Week 4- Hell on earth
Week 5- Mars
Week 6- cold and snowy.


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WiFi is in and out here. Can someone pls check the 06z GFS and see how those anafrontal snow sprinkles are trending? Thanks
These?
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_23.png
 
All this talk about how this isnt the east of the mountains time, yet the 18z makes them the big winner. NC always wins, unless you live in southern wake county.
 
This big cold blast reminds me of last year when it was too cold to snow. The slp were heading to Cuba.
 
I dont even think I got on the forum last February. It was 70 about every day. I didnt care though cause I already had about 6 inches for the winter.
 
All this talk about how this isnt the east of the mountains time, yet the 18z makes them the big winner. NC always wins, unless you live in southern wake county.

I mean they already had snow...

when is everyone else getting theirs?

Can we go ahead and start some speculation on next years winter? I'm sure someone has some good analogs or something.

warm and wet whatever year they pick
 
Ensembles people! Ensembles
They like rain too! What an amazing pattern coming up! 5 degree below normal temps, and backside flurries!!?? We rock! Pattern is soooo close, a tweak here/ there, and snow everywhere, bullish!t, I don’t care!
 
I can’t get enough of this.

Looks cold, what a great pattern this must be.

29F59B28-FE3F-4068-9897-8D4CDF85B902.png


Or is it. Yeah, we usually like LP feeding down from Siberia and ridge off Newfoundland. We want the exact opposite.


58A13978-1369-4197-A932-65DDFDE15B0B.png
 
WiFi is in and out here. Can someone pls check the 06z GFS and see how those anafrontal snow sprinkles are trending? Thanks
I wish my WiFi was broken, permanently! I could just watch the local mets and wait till Dale Gilbert tells me it’s gonna snow!! Which would be never!!
 
In fairness the EPS does flip pressure pattern around day 12+. That is an pattern change. And if one person tells me “see we said Feb was the best nino month, geez, have patience”. If I hear that someone is getting kicked in the ding ding.

View attachment 11593
That's still January.
 
I'm sure we will get another El Nino next year guys. We'll get one, it'll somehow not be strong, but more on the lines of moderate, and we'll figure out how to make it bring La Nina like temps again with how the MJO stalls in warm phases and the SOI having a crazy positive period.

And because of the incoming El Nino, while they won't really honk their horns, everyone will call for a cooler than average winter again.
 
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