pcbjr
Member
How about being a bit more expansive and subtitling all the threads "Make Winter Great Again"?I've talked a fair bit about it, everybody is going to bust on their winter prediction this go around, in fact, the main thing I held hope in was perhaps having a good February again from the start. Now that's not going to happen, and I've done some lurking on the other board and there was one guy (Bob Chill?) that said that if we had based our long range forecasts off how the tropics looked, outside of one area (yeah, my memory is bad so I forgot about the area), it basically didn't look like what you'd expect from a Nino, and it would have potentially led to a different forecast.
So the one thing this semi informed poster is going to wonder about is if persistence forecasting might be the real way to go instead of taking if it's going to be a Nino or Nina and using even recent analogs to base off what the forecast will be.
Ultimately even if you do very well with forecasting in the long range: "Mother Nature is going to do what she will".
The February thread next year shouldn't be "Fab February", it should be "Make Februaries Great Again" (or that should be posted in the subtitle).
I'll buy the hats ...