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Tropical 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season & Model Discussion

98L looks like a close call, but a miss. Worried about 99L, though.
 
The GFS has a weak spin up that makes landfall off the coast of Myrtle. I would love to see this verify to keep the GSP people from complaining. ;)
F1A4E489-19A3-4244-8E68-4E3F697E23ED.png8949C17E-4A3D-4AEA-B7BB-9583CAFAD2C1.pngEE826706-7B87-4436-BB32-E1F8A64B537F.png
 
New are of interest near the northwest gulf coast. Only has a 10% chance to develop though.

Surface observations and satellite imagery indicate that a low
pressure area has formed just off the upper Texas and southwestern
Louisiana coasts. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity
shows signs of organization. However, the system is likely to move
inland over eastern Texas and western Louisiana before significant
development can occur. Regardless of development, this system is
expected to bring locally heavy rains to portions of Louisiana and
eastern Texas during the next day or two.


* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

C571109A-7648-47A3-9732-FD968D1FB421.png
 
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Pretty cool radar out of Houston with a couple vorts rotating in the gulf
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Euro has a tropical storm immediately off of the African coast
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A tropical wave is moving westward from the coast of Africa.
Some development of this system is possible early next week over
the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
A new area of genesis has been designated,
 
A tropical wave is located about 150 miles east-southeast of the
Cabo Verde Islands. Some development of this system is possible
early next week over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic as
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
 
A tropical wave is located about 150 miles east-southeast of the
Cabo Verde Islands. Some development of this system is possible
early next week over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic as
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
tryin' to ruin dinner?
 
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