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Misc 2018 Banter & Venting Thread

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I think Chattanooga actually averages 4". But it's inflated because of 1993 lol.

Edit: The official number is 3.9". To be honest...because of '93, it wouldn't shock me if areas in Northwest Georgia are similar.
 
Y'all can thank our admins and some more patient level headed mods for such a laid back atmosphere here.... if it were up to me entirely I'd already have ticked off a number of posters, no I mean banned them, I swear it gets unbearable but I appreciate what these guys try to do to have a fun and light hearted atmosphere. I just wish everyone would respect that and keep some of the comments, banter, complaints, sarcasm, etc to a minimum.... help us help you. PLEASE and thank you
I had to take a full day away. If I didn't I would have banned about 65% of posters

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Going to start posting more in the banter thread.

Euro past 2 runs in a row is pushing the big vortex off pole thats been rotting in the Siberian sea. Plus scand./bk sea ridging getting better.

ecmwf_z500a_nhem_fh192_trend.gif
 
Going to start posting more in the banter thread.

Euro past 2 runs in a row is pushing the big vortex off pole thats been rotting in the Siberian sea. Plus scand./bk sea ridging getting better.

View attachment 9641
This might be confusing and ironic, but hear me out.

For pattern change and discussion such as this, it is best to post in the main month thread, so in this case the January thread.

The banter thread is for if I posted a clown map and said it would happen or has a chance. In other words, random comments that go nowhere and lack reasonable discussion.
 
09/10. I'm going to grasp to hope for that analog for a while. If we see a 14/15 like February, I can simply go to my family's place in Northwest Georgia if I'm not working.
 
KATL averages 2.9", which I guess is just over an inch from someone from the north, but significantly more than 0" in the south. The northern burbs would probably average 4-5" if records were kept.

I wonder what period you’re considering. For any lengthy period (decades) through the present, ATL actually has averaged about 2”. However, during 1880-1910 by itself, ATL was more like 4”! Sounds crazy but it really was a lot snowier then. Then again, it was colder then, especially in Feb, which was then the snowiest month.

I roughly estimate the longterm average of the N burbs to be 2.5-3”.
 
Going to start posting more in the banter thread.

Euro past 2 runs in a row is pushing the big vortex off pole thats been rotting in the Siberian sea. Plus scand./bk sea ridging getting better.

View attachment 9641

Whew, makes me feel better about what i posted in the other thread. Now if it was wrong, I am not wrong alone.
 
I wonder what period you’re considering. For any lengthy period (decades) through the present, ATL actually has averaged about 2”. However, during 1880-1910 by itself, ATL was more like 4”! Sounds crazy but it really was a lot snowier then. Then again, it was colder then, especially in Feb, which was then the snowiest month.

I roughly estimate the longterm average of the N burbs to be 2.5-3”.
I also think Nashville averaged around 12 inches during the 30 year period from 1950-1980. So basically the snow average got cut in half from 1980-2010. Definitely a snowier period during the first 30 years compared to the next 30. I believe that happened to most of the southeast as far as totals being cut in half.
 
I've been in Tulsa the last couple of days as I'm sure most of you are aware. The people here are really nice. I have a job opportunity here also so I may end up moving here. I'm just a little worried about spring storms. I'm sure it can't be any worse than Alabama storms though.
 
Best. Winter Ever
Here we are another winter , heading into January, looking at 15 day op runs, looking for a glimmer of cold, saying Fab Feb will save us. Weak El Niño’s Rock!! Midoki ftw

More like mi


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This is me reading the January thread right now
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Question for the experts, the models are all over the place (could be due to a pattern change) but could it be due to the low sun solar flares.
 
I wonder how many days KATL has been below freezing this season? It can't be more than 5 or 10, and none forecasted in the next 15.
 
Think about this if I remember correctly from last year the models always showed warmth heading towards the months of December and January but as we got closer they corrected to more cold then as we got towards February we expected the same but we ended up torching. What if this year its the opposite end of November we all started to think that December was gonna be below normal but ended up normal to slightly above in most places as we get closer to January the models seem to be going towards warmth then what is we get towards February and it shows blockbuster cold instead of torching like last year
 
Correct me if I’m wrong and the GFS MJO would suck for us if it verified...


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That run would. Ironically, we are really rooting for the CFSv2 progression (which probably has zero skill considering it's resolution and handling of convection).

CFSO_phase_small.gif
 
I actually think it has more to do with the MJO. Look at the wild spread between the GFS and ECMWF suites.

diagram_40days_forecast_GEFSBC_member.gif


ECMF_phase_MANOM_51m_small.gif
What would cause the MJO to move through the favorable phases so quickly and at such low amplitude?
 
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