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Misc 2017 Banter/venting thread

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Storm5 said:
Thats pretty good . However it was like i was in the shower the first 15 minutes at work #warehouselife

I should be at the beach right now but we had to push it two weeks cause of her work . This is her fault

Of course next thursday i have to go to arkansas for work im sure it will be 100 degrees woth horrible humidity

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Arkansas....thats not exactly a destination spot. I've got KC coming up in 2 weeks I'm sure the plains will be on fire. Then I have Ontario, CA and Sumner, WA during the fall those should be cool places
 
SD said:
Arkansas....thats not exactly a destination spot. I've got KC coming up in 2 weeks I'm sure the plains will be on fire. Then I have Ontario, CA and Sumner, WA during the fall those should be cool places
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I've heard KC has pretty good BBQ.
 
If this wet spell got any wetter, I'd need a water rescue! :(
 
Silly me thought I could squeeze out my walk in the small loophole in the radar.

Silly me just cleaned myself up from getting absolutely soaked by rain.
 
Omgd, ratings must be down
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Storm5 said:
Thats pretty good . However it was like i was in the shower the first 15 minutes at work #warehouselife

I should be at the beach right now but we had to push it two weeks cause of her work . This is her fault

Of course next thursday i have to go to arkansas for work im sure it will be 100 degrees woth horrible humidity

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Ha, vacation week for me this week.
 
Just downloaded Radarscope and so far I like it. That said, having to pay another fee to inspect bins is idiotic.
 
To the people on mobile, I keep accidentally hitting the region select button almost every time I tap on the arrows to move the frames. Who else does that? I hope I'm not the only one? Lol. The button needs to be moved away from the arrow buttons.

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ForsythSnow said:
Nah, CNN is fine, just make it the Clickbait news network. I remember reading they were apart from all the other news stations and in the Clickbait section. If you read the article, they think the deaths will be 152k after 2071, which is misleading.
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There are many other news outlets saying similar.
 
I'm probably gonna piss some folks off with this, but ...
Don't trust or hang on models ... look a little deeper at the whole setup and analyze, rather than spontaneously spouting off on what this run or that run says at some god awful hour 10 days out as though it were testament coming from Jacob or Moses ... o_O

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pcbjr said:
I'm probably gonna piss some folks off with this, but ...
Don't trust or hang on models ... look a little deeper at the whole setup and analyze, rather than spontaneously spouting off on what this run or that run says at some god awful hour 10 days out as though it were testament coming from Jacob or Moses ... o_O

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Thats why i posted earlier "Lesson learn for me" lol. Its nothing wrong talking about or watching modles because thats the whole fun part of this, but for someone to say "DOOMS DAY " in the 300hr range is ridiculous. I agree and understand your post. Keep up the good work. :)
 
pcbjr said:
I'm probably gonna piss some folks off with this, but ...
Don't trust or hang on models ... look a little deeper at the whole setup and analyze, rather than spontaneously spouting off on what this run or that run says at some god awful hour 10 days out as though it were testament coming from Jacob or Moses ... o_O

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Tell SD that! He's the one grasping @ 3K NAM and stuff! :)
 
pcbjr said:
I'm probably gonna piss some folks off with this, but ...
Don't trust or hang on models ... look a little deeper at the whole setup and analyze, rather than spontaneously spouting off on what this run or that run says at some god awful hour 10 days out as though it were testament coming from Jacob or Moses ... o_O

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Well said. In case anyone might be mislead by this, I don't think he's suggesting not to post 10
day modeled TC positions. I see nothing wrong with that as for one thing it is good documentation that helps show how way off these progs end up being the vast majority of the time and also helps give an idea about which models tend to be more way off than others, the strengths and weaknesses of various models, etc. So, these can help us learn in this way and others.

It is assumed by now that experienced readers of these posts realize that the probabilities of a TC position/strength verifying closely at, say, day 10+ are almost always extremely low though that chance will not be quite as low if there's the almost unheard of instance of model agreement on run after run that far out. That's why I said that having modeled hits on the US from FL to ME (later this went into the GOM) and over a 4 day period meant that it would be quite awhile before there was to be a good handle on 99L, assuming it would even ever become a TC.

However, there does seem to be a big problem with posting well out into the future modeled TC positions on Facebook, etc., as that's where there are readers less educated on the extremely low probabilities of verification thus causing unnecessary panic.
 
GaWx said:
Well said. In case anyone might be mislead by this, I don't think he's suggesting not to post 10
day modeled TC positions. I see nothing wrong with that as for one thing it is good documentation that helps show how way off these progs end up being the vast majority of the time and also helps give an idea about which models tend to be more way off than others, the strengths and weaknesses of various models, etc. So, these can help us learn in this way and others.

It is assumed by now that experienced readers of these posts realize that the probabilities of a TC position/strength verifying closely at, say, day 10+ are almost always extremely low though that chance will not be quite as low if there's the almost unheard of instance of model agreement on run after run that far out. That's why I said that having modeled hits on the US from FL to ME (later this went into the GOM) and over a 4 day period meant that it would be quite awhile before there was to be a good handle on 99L, assuming it would even ever become a TC.

However, there does seem to be a big problem with posting well out into the future modeled TC positions on Facebook, etc., as that's where there are readers less educated on the extremely low probabilities of verification thus causing unnecessary panic.
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Just want folks to consider before regurgitating what we can all see ourselves ... and don't want folks thinking models are a done deal ...

Larry - I'll get back with you on the PM in an hour or 2 - things going on I need to deal with ...
 
GaWx said:
Well said. In case anyone might be mislead by this, I don't think he's suggesting not to post 10
day modeled TC positions. I see nothing wrong with that as for one thing it is good documentation that helps show how way off these progs end up being the vast majority of the time and also helps give an idea about which models tend to be more way off than others, the strengths and weaknesses of various models, etc. So, these can help us learn in this way and others.

It is assumed by now that experienced readers of these posts realize that the probabilities of a TC position/strength verifying closely at, say, day 10+ are almost always extremely low though that chance will not be quite as low if there's the almost unheard of instance of model agreement on run after run that far out. That's why I said that having modeled hits on the US from FL to ME (later this went into the GOM) and over a 4 day period meant that it would be quite awhile before there was to be a good handle on 99L, assuming it would even ever become a TC.

However, there does seem to be a big problem with posting well out into the future modeled TC positions on Facebook, etc., as that's where there are readers less educated on the extremely low probabilities of verification thus causing unnecessary panic.
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^^^THIS^^^


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Why in the world did I come back to Georgia ? I was visiting family in Indiana and it was so nice and pleasant and then I come back to this crap ? Someone please tell me there is an end in sight to the high humidity.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Early October and it will be over... until May of next year.
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Stop it. I cant take it anymore. I guess you cant have cooler temps in the south in the summer without copious amounts of rain and humidity to go along with it. Oh and im also sick of the insane bug population this summer. Humidity + bugs = misery.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
Stop it. I cant take it anymore. I guess you cant have cooler temps in the south in the summer without copious amounts of rain and humidity to go along with it. Oh and im also sick of the insane bug population this summer. Humidity + bugs = misery.
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Sadly not, unless we have those rare days that a trough sweeps in. The bugs definitely have been all over this year, likely due to the uptick in moisture.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Sadly not, unless we have those rare days that a trough sweeps in. The bugs definitely have been all over this year, likely due to the uptick in moisture.
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I guess you just cant win either way if you live in the south. Summers are either going to be oppressively hot and dry or cooler with higher humidity and tons of bugs.
 
We have so many talented members so im posting this to see if we have any graphic designers . Message me if you have aby experience . My normal guy has vanished

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