Good to see the NaM get onboard, certainly increases confidence we are not just staring at a unicorn less than 2 days out, with still some upside potential to trend toward a more meaningful event.
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12/8/2025 Event - Repeat of Last Week?
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
if something like this 18z NAM verified, Wake would surely see something a bit more than what is showing here -- but be rest assured, the Raleigh and Charlotte snow holes can also be very real, history has shown us.
C-Money
Member
Hope to see the Euro to jump on board with the NAM and GFS. Just hard.for me not to be skeptical until then.
Twister
Member
How does it skip right over the Upstate and starts building in NC Piedmont??
Tsappfrog20
Member
Hopefully, we'll see a few more trends in the right direction. It would be nice for one of these to go our way for once.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
like clockwork
packfan98
Moderator
18z RGEM is juicing up too. Definite trend to more energy. Even getting some coastal enhancement going.
NBAcentel
Member
RGEM slowly getting there 
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
ICON is not great to say the least. I would put a lot of stock in RGEM, my personal favorite with forecasting snowstorms and always seems to do a good job.
Bigedd09
Member
Trust me if that verified that's about the worst kick in the nuts u could possibly have
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C-Money
Member
Another encouraging sign. NAM, GFS and RGEM looks pretty good for NC. Seems more of the models are going in the right direction for NC to see snow than the other way around. Euro is the big holdout.
NBAcentel
Member
GFS continues to slowly getting better. The more moisture you can throw back the colder the surface gets 
packfan98
Moderator
Love the trends today!
C-Money
Member
GFS not backing down at all. Looking better than before, actually.
NBAcentel
Member
Man if we continue to do this, we would be talking about a more statewide deal, and a bigger deal at that. Get this pig to dig between bham and ATL 
rburrel2
Member
I feel like the best chance for a nuke job is Blacksburg to Roanoke since it seems like there may be some stationary banding features there with the vort passage . Plus they shouldn’t have much BL issues
NBAcentel
Member
Very encouraging to see the 20z HRRR continuing the slowing/digging in the C US vs its 18z run, if we do this until go time we might get a surprising event 
MichaelJ
Member
Don’t see a lot of difference in the outcome from yesterday’s event to this one. Probably another Va storm with perhaps some token flakes in northernmost North Carolina
Bigedd09
Member
Disagreed. This is totally different. The upper levels will be much cooler
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Huge difference, this one actually has a cold air column in the upper levels combined with similar vorticity
Rule of thumb: if QPF is the limiting factor bets are it will overperform. If thermals are an issue, you’ll underperform.
Yesterday the snow was heavily warm air advection driven, and screwed up thermals with the warm nose… especially with poor climo and weak cold air damning, we were doomed from the start
This system does have cold chasing moisture, but the cold air gets pulled with more precipitation due to evaporative and dynamical cooling
I am a bit more confident that we’ll see some frozen precipitation with this one
