NCSNOW
Member
38 cloudy in driveway 330pm. Winston to HP, sun out 46. Wouldnt mind radiational cooling in a couple hours
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12/8/2025 Event - Repeat of Last Week?
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
You'll get you some flakes tomorrow! CR moved to Morganton so I got his snow shields to worry about lol
The DC weenies are going to get hammered while we get sunshine at this rate.Nam
I need to move to the coastal plain for snow after these last couple winters. Looking at real estate in Moyock as we speak.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
.5-5 in Wintergreen
Also Bluefield should be 3-6 or so
Unfortunately but maybe there will be a glitch lol. I do think your area has a better chance of getting colder than the southern foothills. A dusting to an inch may be possible. Good luck my friend! I'm rooting for ya.
Facts living in the lee causes me constant pain! I mean yeah I can drive to Avery County in 30 minutes but 181 is a tall grade! Very dangerous in winter conditions.
C-Money
Member
Felt confident for a decent 1 to 2 inches here until the last NAM run. Not sure what to expect now. Euro doesn't show much but has been trending better. GFS and the short range models have been looking great the last two days, but then the last NAM run did a complete 180. Could be anything from a dusting to 2 inches here. It's always a roller coaster ride when it comes to snow chances here.
Thanks, I wish it would work out for everybody, but we know it never does.
This right here simply amazes me the models always put a minimum right here over Surry Wilkes Yadkin Counties. I live right at the black dot.
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I hope the NAM is a one off glitch and not a reversal of the good trends that we have seen today. I'm going to be honest, I've seen the rug pulled out from underneath us too many times to not be concerned.
rburrel2
Member
Short range models starting to line up with the euro? I’m shocked
NCSNOW
Member
RDPS .
RGEM still looks decent, much better qpf than the NAMs and HRRR
Tsappfrog20
Member
UNCSC
Member
I’m driving from the upstate to Richmond Virginia tomorrow afternoon for work, is traffic going to be really bad at the NC/VA line if it ends up doing what the models are showing?
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Not that it was ever ours in the slightest.... Catawba/Iredell/Rowan are out of this one I think. I didnt think it would make it to Meck/Cabarrus/Gaston but yea not even us now jmo
NCSNOW
Member
When you cross va/nc line on 85. Va leaves trees hanging over interstate practically. Will be rough sledding. Just drove it friday morning event
Looks to me like the NAM is actually digging slightly more than the RGEM, yet is drier across NC than the RGEM. Maybe hopium on my part, but that's a red flag for me. Like the qpf from RGEM better initially, then it really throws some moisture back from the coastal (not sold on that just yet)
Dang when I see it like that, I'm about one more tick away from a significant event
Let's play skip Big Frosty's! lol Congrats, Va. and Ne NC.
Oh wow. It even gives Jimmy a dusting.
beating a dead horse a bit here but I think you (or someone in in your general neck of the woods) are probably in the best non-high country spot in nc for tomorrow
Bigedd09
Member
Don't jinx it
Not a cloud in the sky here, 45 degrees should be some quick cooling when the sun goes down.
rburrel2
Member
This is a pretty tough forecast for Raleigh. Could be nothing, could be 3 inches. Sorta feels like a coin flip right now and a good chance there’s not many in-between scenarios.
C-Money
Member
GFS incoming.
roads holding heat should keep roads in good shape unless 29-30 degrees is reached
Bigedd09
Member
With all due respect the gfs is very pointless right now
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C-Money
Member
GFS at hour 24.
At this point we should focus on the NBM, NAM, RGEM, and HRRR. GFS and EURO aren’t really going to help
NBAcentel
Member
GFS probably a best case scenario, but I do like its handle on the QPF (not where snow is falling) Just a lot of red flags for the sudden drier CAMs (NAM/HRRR)
C-Money
Member
packfan98
Moderator
GFS did step towards the other models with more precip in VA and less in NC this run.
NBAcentel
Member
Yeah that strip in VA has the best intercept of everything, the front, forcing, dynamics
At this point, the short range models you mentioned are probably your best bet in determining what will happen. I'll cling to the dose of hopeium that the GFS has been giving and I'll keep my fingers crossed that it can be right for once.
HRRR still concerning to me. Va looks like a lock