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12/8/2025 Event - Repeat of Last Week?

NCwx1992 said:
Wind chill below 32 in Durham right now but real temp is 38… definitely wishing we didn’t have so many degrees to drop til freezing here
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Yeah, we don’t have much moisture to work with as it is, so wasting a lot of it (all of it?) on rain or “mood flakes” that don’t stick because it’s several degrees above freezing and during the daytime isn’t great.
 
RBR71 said:
Bring it with you to the double R
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the hrrr is interesting for your neck of the woods. it's rather aggressive with coastal enhancement. something to watch for you... i've always thought cyclogenesis is the hardest piece to nail down since convection plays a part (it helps ramp up low level vorticity). north east NC's x-factor
 
Rain Cold said:
Nice light rain falling here in Morganton.
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Just rode up 181 and chicken feather's were coming down. Jonas Ridge had close to 3in. I stopped at 2700ft brown mountain overlook and took these pics.
 

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Ross said:
the hrrr is interesting for your neck of the woods. it's rather aggressive with coastal enhancement. something to watch for you... i've always thought cyclogenesis is the hardest piece to nail down since convection plays a part (it helps ramp up low level vorticity). north east NC's x-factor
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Maybe we can get a back end squall 🙏🏻
 
Ross said:
the hrrr is interesting for your neck of the woods. it's rather aggressive with coastal enhancement. something to watch for you... i've always thought cyclogenesis is the hardest piece to nail down since convection plays a part (it helps ramp up low level vorticity). north east NC's x-factor
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Can you post it? Thanks
 
Ross said:
i'm a little surprised you're both hurting for moisture and having temp issues at elevation. you think there's a mesoscale rainshadow deal/banding in WV robbing your moisture?
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It’s possible, the stuff up in WV is way over performing. So could be a banding issue.
 
Ross said:
the hrrr is interesting for your neck of the woods. it's rather aggressive with coastal enhancement. something to watch for you... i've always thought cyclogenesis is the hardest piece to nail down since convection plays a part (it helps ramp up low level vorticity). north east NC's x-factor
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I think when it's all said and done I'll be a little too far west for that, if in fact any coastal enhancement materializes
 
37 and rain here in lenoir. Cams did pretty good job depicting mostly rain here while gfs was way too aggressive on snow output


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We should see a good burst of snow over the Northern Coastal Plain of NC later today as low-level warm advection intersects with DPVA aloft from the approaching mid level vort max.

Also, note the weak 700mb warm advection with temps around or just below -10C, which is near the base of the snow growth layer. This too will favor greater snowfall rates


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