Severe 12/26-1/1 Severe 🌩

[tennessee storm]

I’m in the enhanced risk here in SW Bama. Any chance we could go to a moderate?

Kind late for me watching this system but I’m catching up. Say there is a pretty good shot u go under moderate risk for tomorrow . Lapse rates look great low level shear modest instability . Winter threats don’t take a lot of instability be honest

 

[tractor girl]

 

[SD]

I’m in the enhanced risk here in SW Bama. Any chance we could go to a moderate?

I wouldn't be terribly surprised if your area over into South Central MS is upgraded overnight. I think the big question mark is how quickly do things go linear. The early stages to your west probably has a higher chance of being super cellular and tornadic but any delay in forcing and the super cell/tornado threat creeps east

 

[SD]

A lot of the cells in MS today have some rotation.

 

[Gulf Coast Weather]

Confirmed tornado currently on the southwest side of Mobile, AL

 

[LukeBarrette]

East of Roanoke Sunday night…
Lapse rates impressive for an East Coast setup.

 

[ITUSETOSNOW]

I just heard a massive clap of thunder,,,30306...43 degrees!!!

 

[Webberweather53]

Holy

A 45% tor on the nadocast??

 

[Detective WX]

Currently raining at my house with 44 degree temp. Looks like that wedge may not save our boat this time.

 

[Webberweather53]

Moderate risk is very likely coming down the pipe here based on what the 0z runs look like. This is a rather high end event for late December

 

[SD]

My goodness

 

[TileDude]

 

[SD]

It's weird to see the HRRR more threatening than the 3k but the 3k looks weird with the multiple lines of convection

 

[BHS1975]

It's weird to see the HRRR more threatening than the 3k but the 3k looks weird with the multiple lines of convection

Sometimes the HRRR will back off last minute.

 

[tractor girl]

 

[jrips27]

Upgraded to Moderate

 

[jrips27]

Day 2 - 5% tornado

 

[Carolina Jones]

Guess we will have to pay attention to this around here Sunday. I was.hoping it would just be rain and a little wind.

 

[accu35]

Well looks like I’m in the Mod risk now

 

[weather bubba]

First I look at the glorious winter weather model runs on the January thread and now we are tracking severe weather for Sunday. Business has definitely picked up in this forum.