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Severe 12/26-1/1 Severe 🌩

The NAM 3k has 2 rounds for some of us in the Carolinas on Sunday. That 2nd line breaks up some as it moves my way and the sounding when it comes in supports tornadoes and shows 450 SBCAPE here.
KRDU thinks this threat of severe weather will be more linear with the potential for isloated tornadoes embedded along the line in the thunderstorms that are going to pass through. They did mention that any breaks in the cloud cover allowing for additional heating could be like rocket fuel and the potential for severe weather could really be enhanced. If the NAM is correct, that second round of weather your way could get interesting if the storms break up into individual cells.
 
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Hail getting big.

1042 AM CST SAT DEC 28 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN DESHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 1130 AM CST.

* AT 1042 AM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DERMOTT,
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...TWO INCH HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.


1055 AM CST SAT DEC 28 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN BOLIVAR COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL NOON CST.

* AT 1055 AM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER ARKANSAS
CITY, OR 12 MILES EAST OF DERMOTT, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...TWO INCH HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
 
NW of Houston. This is a renewed warning for a cell that has had a tornado warning for half an hour. Debris signature.

Live coverage at the moment https://texasstormchasers.com/forec...vere-weather-tornado-coverage-baldy-in-chief/

1059 AM CST SAT DEC 28 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1130 AM CST.

* AT 1059 AM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CYPRESS, OR 11 MILES NORTH OF KATY, MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
TOMBALL AND CYPRESS AROUND 1105 AM CST.
HOOKS AIRPORT AROUND 1115 AM CST.
 
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Update of NW Houston circulation

1129 AM CST SAT DEC 28 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTH CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1215 PM CST.

* AT 1128 AM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR HOOKS AIRPORT, OR NEAR TOMBALL, MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
SPRING, THE WOODLANDS, OAK RIDGE NORTH, HURRICANE HARBOR
SPLASHTOWN, THE WOODLANDS PAVILLION, AND HOOKS AIRPORT AROUND 1135
AM CST.
SHENANDOAH AND CHATEAU WOODS AROUND 1140 AM CST.
WOODLOCH AND PORTER HEIGHTS AROUND 1150 AM CST.
 
Tomorrow doesn’t look like anything special in NC, well at least for now. Biggest inhibitor is probably instability, but overall not a terrible setup considering it is December after all.

Big squall line with some embedded elevated supercells seems like a reasonable bet. Might get more surface based storms further to the south in SC
 
105 PM CST SAT DEC 28 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN TYLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 130 PM CST.

* AT 104 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED OVER THICKET, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
WILDWOOD AROUND 115 PM CST.
VILLAGE MILLS AROUND 120 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
IVANHOE AND HILLISTER.

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