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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie

This one's a disaster at 850. That warm nose is massive and the energy isn't doing any favors unfortunately. Need to see better trends or this one's going to end a trainwreck.
I guess the EURO AI was similar but nothing else supports this. Not even its own ensembles
 
12z was sorta in between 18z/0z and 6z runs not too concerned really the storm signature is there the Temps are gonna be cold around event. We joke all the time about GFS notoriously losing stuff in mid range and honestly it's ain't lost it but it's sorta gonna a little bit all over place in past 24 hours
 
Onset Ice to Rain for the upstate which means it would be entirely Ice if this thing actually did what the GFS showed (it won't lol).
 
Well at least it’s just cold rain and not freezing rain this time I suppose.
It’s unlikely to be cold rain if prior to the storm it’s below zero around West Virginia and upper teens across north-west NC. I bet this has more potential for ice ZR or even sleet for quite a few on this board.
 
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