Yeh I don't think that would end well even as it got to the Carolinas. It would probably be a lot like the GFS.
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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
mydoortotheworld
Member
UK folding to the GFS would be a great way to start 2025
Edit: I think the CMC/euro duo is hard to beat, GEFS doesn’t support OP - I’m not scared, but I am worried
Edit: I think the CMC/euro duo is hard to beat, GEFS doesn’t support OP - I’m not scared, but I am worried
Wulfer
Member
Read my tag line! There's a reason I made it that tag line! Looks like we will have the temps but, the moisture is now MIA.
Yeh you can already see more juiced up members on the GEFS.
Things are not trending in the right direction at all. Hate to see temp issues at this range.
Only silver lining is that we are still a long ways out, so a lot can still change.
Only silver lining is that we are still a long ways out, so a lot can still change.
wow
Member
March 2001 guys?
Forevertothee
Member
Discussion Peachtree City (ATL)
The cold air will then quickly begin to spread into the area in
the wake of the front on Monday with temperatures falling through
the day. Thereafter, temperatures will be well below normal
through the week. While the exact magnitude of the cold is still a
bit uncertain at this juncture, highs are likely to remain in the
30s and 40s through the week with lows well into the low to mid
20s with areas of teens likely by Thursday into Friday morning.
While these conditions certainly won`t threaten any records, it
will still be the coldest temperatures in about a year. Even
larger uncertainty remains regarding any potential for wintry
precipitation late next week, and as mentioned in previous
discussions, many factors have to align perfectly for any chance
of frozen precipitation in the Southeast. Still, if features do
align and a Gulf low is able to take advantage of sufficient
moisture (as now hinted at in models late next week), wintry
precipitation would be possible. While it remains far too early to
pinpoint any of this potential, continue to stay attuned to the
forecast over the coming days.
The cold air will then quickly begin to spread into the area in
the wake of the front on Monday with temperatures falling through
the day. Thereafter, temperatures will be well below normal
through the week. While the exact magnitude of the cold is still a
bit uncertain at this juncture, highs are likely to remain in the
30s and 40s through the week with lows well into the low to mid
20s with areas of teens likely by Thursday into Friday morning.
While these conditions certainly won`t threaten any records, it
will still be the coldest temperatures in about a year. Even
larger uncertainty remains regarding any potential for wintry
precipitation late next week, and as mentioned in previous
discussions, many factors have to align perfectly for any chance
of frozen precipitation in the Southeast. Still, if features do
align and a Gulf low is able to take advantage of sufficient
moisture (as now hinted at in models late next week), wintry
precipitation would be possible. While it remains far too early to
pinpoint any of this potential, continue to stay attuned to the
forecast over the coming days.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Temps are always the #1 concern people. Some of y’all begging for rain.
Jan88
Member
In this pattern it's not very good
mydoortotheworld
Member
The trouble is we keep having this issue of all the globals having a substantial cold bias only to moderate as we get closer. Occasionally it works the other way but it feels like these days it feels like less and less of an occurrence. I think someone here, webber maybe? Posed the question of what is it about these models that keep advertising very cold in the medium to long range? Why isn’t it being investigated? Is this a result of a warmer and warmer background state that models just can’t seem to handle completely?
Truly a riveting 12z GEFS run. I mean wow. I am thrilled at the moment. 
iGRXY
Member
Imagine it raining with this look in Mid January.
Somebody post that “slgt chance heavy snow” circle map thing. That will up the mood a little in here as long as that squiggly line is still drawn around us
iGRXY
Member
Haven’t seen the surface maps but looks like a whiff on the Euro
iGRXY
Member
Good news is as fast as this look went to hell, there's still plenty of time for it to change and I promise it will. Maybe for the worst but these are even close to the final look.
Delayed till the 12-13th and it’s way too warm for everyone. Oof
iGRXY
Member
Apps cutter lol
And we are now at our lowest. Not entirely sure if we come back either. We are avoiding every way possible to succeed now in modeling.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
I’m still a firm believer the bigger concern is a cold and dry situation vs too amped.
SnowmasterATL
Member
I did not see that coming at all. I think I am done for the day...see yall tomorrow! lol a 50/50 low and strong -NAO and we got an app runner. this is very diabolical but believable.
It’s so bad it rains on areas with a foot of snowcover 
SnowmasterATL
Member
it is man. I saw that. GFS should that a runs ago. We got to get ready of it or else.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Pants exploded
SnowmasterATL
Member
have fun man!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Apparently New Mexico stole it. You’re welcome
Thanks!
ugh man
If the GFS is correct about the LR pattern, there will be plenty more chances over the next 2 weeks.
UNCSC
Member
We just keep punting every time. We are always looking at 10+ days, I don’t remember it being this bad when I was young. A winter storm every year was the norm, now it seems nearly impossible to see any type of storm the past couple years.
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Pops
Member
middle of the road between Canadian,icon and gfs and euro seems plausible but who knows
sheesh fellas