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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie

griteater said:
I commit to you Pangu that I will never look at another model again if you are correct. Thanks for the maps bouncy. That thang has been locked in
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And his Wxblender ftw.... good stuff. Thanks for sharing @bouncycorn

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Meteorologist Jeff Castle​

1h ·

THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND...if you're wanting to see snow across north Alabama! We're starting to get some agreement between the primary operational mid-range models about snow across parts of the south by Friday (1/10).

I will say though that the dividing line between liquid and frozen precipitation (pink area) is very close to north Alabama. There is general agreement though than an area of low pressure will track near the Gulf coast and throw moisture back into the cold air that will be in place across the area all week. This is the type of set up that can produce a swath of southern snow in the winter.

If the track edges more north that will lower the chances of snow. If it edges south that would increase the chances. Somewhere in between...maybe a mix of snow, ice and some rain. We don't have all the answers yet, but we're getting closer. We'll start putting out potential outcomes including possible accumulation maps in the next couple of days. Keep checking back for updates here, on WAAY-TV and on the WAAY 31 Stormtracker Weather app!
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chase5ash said:
The difference between ATL and PDK is remarkable. On par with winter weather threats around the Atlanta metro, every single mile to the North can make a world of difference.
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Thats why I posted Canton/Cherokee because my area is halfway between there and Dekalb/Peachtree. Cobb/McCollum doesn't have its own data, it just shares Dekalb.
 
chase5ash said:
The difference between ATL and PDK is remarkable. On par with winter weather threats around the Atlanta metro, every single mile to the North can make a world of difference.
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i was thinking today- likely that after all the writhing and gnashing of teeth about position, the familiar gradients will set up and screw atl, gsp, clt, rdu. roxboro, davidson, shelby, rome laugh to the bank.

david byrne voice: same as it ever was
 
chase5ash said:
The difference between ATL and PDK is remarkable. On par with winter weather threats around the Atlanta metro, every single mile to the North can make a world of difference.
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Yep. And that applies from PDK north to, say, Cumming. Never ceases to amaze me how much things vary with winter weather over such a short distance and not much change in elevation
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I mean we’re approaching what grandma and grandpa experienced type wedge status here. Funny because the mid levels are warming ever so slightly each run but the surface just keeps trending colder. mid-upper 20s is impressive View attachment 160120View attachment 160121
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Easy on the grandpa stuff Fro..im only 53 lol
I kid but it does remind me of the 80's and 90's wedge set up.
 
ILMRoss said:
i was thinking today- likely that after all the writhing and gnashing of teeth about position, the familiar gradients will set up and screw atl, gsp, clt, rdu. roxboro, davidson, shelby, rome laugh to the bank.

david byrne voice: same as it ever was
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Would the Talking Heads agree?
 
Oconeexman said:
Easy on the grandpa stuff Fro..im only 53 lol
I kid but it does remind me of the 80's and 90's wedge set up.
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You got me by 5 years. I’m 48 I just found out a few hours ago that I am gonna be a grandpa in about 7 and half months. So he can say it for some of us…lol
 
I don't think it's worth very much analyzing the LR NAM. I mean, there's nothing else to do, I guess. But it's akin to analyzing the 384 hr GFS. Usually fun to look at but almost always wrong. Bigly.
 
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