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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie

20 pages overnight, wow haha. Looking through guidance it seems a lot of it switches Wake to rain by 06z Saturday now. A nod towards the NAM.
Glimmer of hope, RGEM seemed a tick colder and shifted the snow axis a little south. I think we might see some good 12z model runs fwiw this late in the game
 
Everyone is welcome I fought the good fight watching radar and meso must night anx seeing thr frustration of dry air keeping winning but I eventually passed out and then everything went boom... Its snowing steady here in Dallas GA with lots to go...now its a climo race to put as much on ground untill mixing
 
What are you thinking for our neck of the woods? I’m guessing 2.5-3” with a nice dose of sleet that will give this lots of staying power.
Good call. I agree with you. We should net .4-.49 qpf. I circled the 4 yesterday as my final call, But I noticed on the Graph last night, we end last hour or 2 with the orange barely getting over our heads. The other foreign guidance kept us all white, but by about 15 miles. Obviously we know that's most likely gonna wiggle north on us some and change us to sleet. It would never work in the opposite direction lol.
I haven't looked at 6z Cams, getting ready to. I can tell from downtown Atlanta webcams, the Nam as suspected was way off, missing the onset snow. No shocker. Its frustrating cause late yesterday it had us getting zilch snow here. So there's a tool we need to use and its never much help when you need it most.
I'll be disappointed if we aint scrapping at least 3 inches of snow and sleet off the driveway. Estatic with anything 4+. Ive rode the 2-4 call with the 4 getting circled yesterday morning so no need to change. Happy for us and everyone else on here we get to see some frozen precip.
 
I love seeing everyone so excited and actually getting winter weather!

We usually see things start earlier than modeled.

We also usually have hopes that things are over performing, but we need to let it play out. I know that there are changeovers and heartbreak to come. Starting off as snow and sleet with minor accumulations was predicted by most models.

Good luck everyone!
 
Glimmer of hope, RGEM seemed a tick colder and shifted the snow axis a little south. I think we might see some good 12z model runs fwiw this late in the game
Yep, keeps a lot of Wake in all snow throughout the event (except for Rain Cold's old place).
 
06z Euro, fwiw

Also, a near perfect match to what the Euro AI has shown consistently for the last 7 days, lol.

View attachment 162270
Yea they've been rock steady. Thanks for posting this by the way.
That finger across NC has been there for almost a week, especially Euro AI, probably over a week. I'll be interested to see the outcome maps after the smoke settles on this one.
 
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