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Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

whizrtr said:
RichardJacks said:
whizrtr said:
scott36093 said:
From BMX...

Models are now in much better agreement with the handling of a
portion of the positively-tilted trough left behind over Oregon
as it heads toward the Southern Plains on Friday. As an Arctic
airmass continues to press southward, the Plains shortwave may
induce a Gulf low with isentropic lift spreading over the region.
With the support of all the global models and many ensemble
members, this forecast update features the first aggressive step
toward a possible high-impact winter storm on Friday into early
Saturday. The strength of the airmass moving southward in advance
of the storm system suggests temperatures could fall well below
freezing during the event which would lead to higher than normal
impacts. Those details will need to be refined in later updates.
The HWO will be updated to include a low confidence chance of
accumulating sleet and snow. Confidence will be raised if models
continue on course.
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Wow. BMX is getting on board. Has Matt joined this forum yet?
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The was this morning's disco
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Ah, will be interesting to see if they shift given the 12z Euro
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Prob not considering other models agreeing with each other
 
Storm5 said:
Tarheel1 said:
When the 18z GFS looks like the 12z Euro ! Next!
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why on earth would you next

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Theres a storm signal around the 15th, let's reel it in!
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Spann already shifted his area north

accu35 won't like that

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GaWx said:
Whereas surface pressures over Maryland (for example) when the surface low is in the NE Gulf are up near 1032 mb on the 12Z GFS, near 1030 mb on the 12Z JMA, and near 1028 mb on the 18Z NAM, they are a measly 1020 mb on the 12Z Euro. It would be better if those pressures for low level cold air purposes were higher than 1020 mb.
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Very much agree
 
18z GFS has been good to us the past 2 days. It's running now.
 
Storm5 said:
Spann already shifted his area north

accu35 won't like that

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He always does that crap
 
In case anyone is interested, the UKMET precip maps are available here. Note: Precip totals are in mm.

http://ruc.noaa.gov/hfip/tcgen/
 
snow-2-1.jpg
 
Just a curious question, if it snows while you are sleeping do you care? I for one don't care about the snow if I don't see it falling. Unfortunately it sounds like whatever we do get, will be while we sleep. As it will end Sat morning.
 
FLO said:
Just a curious question, if it snows while you are sleeping do you care? I for one don't care about the snow if I don't see it falling. Unfortunately it sounds like whatever we do get, will be while we sleep. As it will end Sat morning.
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If you like snow enough to post on a weather forum but not enough to stay awake to see it falling or appreciate it after it's fallen, I don't really know what to tell you.
 
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