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Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

The GFS hasn't been trending north, it's just been trending weaker with what I can tell.

This might be a case like February 2015 in which one model had it absolutely nailed down for several runs and the other models showed something different and disappointed a lot of people in the areas which were very borderline, but I haven't seen those cases happen too often. In most cases the consensus is what usually happens and for two straight runs we've seen the consensus lean to a winter storm.
 
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Storm5 said:
RichardJacks said:
The euro is the reason why I haven't bought into the +2" for I20 area...the cold air just isn't there...for a number of reasons
yep the high was way too slow on this run

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Agreed. We nee the northern branch to swing ththrough first.
 
if you look through last night's eps there were many solutions like what we just saw on the 12z euro. It's concerning . Hopefully the 12z eps will give us a better idea. but you can't just through the euro run out and say it does not have have support

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CMC took a baby step toward a weaker solution as well

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tellicowx said:
CMC took a baby step toward a weaker solution as well

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everything has trended weaker. is it right? hard to tell but there is a trend no doubt

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Euro looks like it's trending warmer to me, everything else seems like it's trending weaker but staying cold enough.

So who wins?
 
Storm5 said:
tellicowx said:
CMC took a baby step toward a weaker solution as well

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everything has trended weaker. is it right? hard to tell but there is a trend no doubt

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I think Webber hit the nail on the head...without the NS attempting some kind of phasing in the Gulf or SE coast...this is gonna keep trending weaker

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