Winter forecasting in the south is very easy. We tend to over-complicate it, but it’s actually quite simplistic. Start by taking the most unfavorable storm track. Add in the warmest solution within the guidance suite. Combine at medium speed with the lowest qpf prog. Fold in the paltriest (potential made up word alert) snow map. Simmer on low heat for 6 hours. If there is still snow shown, cut totals by 50-75% and add a pinch of sun angle, a dash of warm ground temps, and a drop of max diurnal heating, stirring gently. Let cool for another 6 hours. If there is still snow being depicted, cut totals by 25% and serve warm.
