Wintry 1/26-1/28 Winter Storm Potential

[carolinachaos]

Anyone care to guess the potential impacted areas based on trends I believe Raleigh to Pinehurst to Florence back to Myrtle Beach up the coast East and North of those areas, or could this trend further west?

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[Disco_Lemonade]

Not half bad, this reminds me of the storm early last January.

This is further west then the FV3

 

[Webberweather53]

That's about as close as you can get w/o actually seeing any snow at the surface. This is very close lol.

 

[Webberweather53]

125 ish miles is all that separates this from being nothing like on this Euro run or a crush job in the I-95/US-1 corridors.

 

[Webberweather53]

Classic double-barrel look

 

[Webberweather53]

Last 3 runs of the 0z Euro.

 

[carolinachaos]

Where the two streams meet, will that cause extra lift in the atmosphere to produce higher precip totals?

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[Webberweather53]

Where the two streams meet, will that cause extra lift in the atmosphere to produce higher precip totals?

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Where the left exit region and right entrance region of 2 jet streaks transect is where upper level divergence is maximized which thru mass continuity favors lower-level convergence, enhanced lift, precipitation, and cyclogenesis/stronger cyclone.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Last 3 runs of the 0z Euro.

View attachment 13441

I know we still have some time out but could the Midlands possibly be affected by this?

 

[Webberweather53]

I know we still have some time out but could the Midlands possibly be affected by this?

Yes, areas as far west as the US-1 corridor in the Carolinas have a shot still at this juncture.

 

[Storm7]

Looks like some snow showers over northern miss.

 

[Webberweather53]

Another substantial NW shift in the 0z EPS. The I-95 & US-1 corridors have this storm about right where they want it. Another 100-125 miles and this turns into a big deal for places like Raleigh-Durham, Rocky Mount-Wilson, Goldsboro, Roanoke Rapids, Fayetteville, etc.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

You can actually see on H5 how this storm is effecting the other one in a way

 

[Webberweather53]

@metwannabe is sitting in the driver seat for this one.

 

[BHS1975]

Look how far west the RGEM is

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[BHS1975]

Dang Eric don’t you sleep? Lol


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[Webberweather53]

Dang Eric don’t you sleep? Lol


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I feel asleep when everyone was up and I'm actually legitimately excited about this storm because I see where we're headed. It's always been a boom or bust scenario and we're clearly going for the boom.

 

[Brick Tamland]

This is really starting to remind me of how things evolved with the Christmas 2010 storm. And we still have about 48 hours for this to come further west.

 

[Fountainguy97]

06z models didn’t move an inch. Two runs now where we haven’t seen any major NW move.

Someone let us know what 06z eps does.

 

[packfan98]

The eastern third of NC all have some 0z EPS members showing some snow. I'll post Raleigh here. Goldsboro had the most I could find with 8 members showing snow with an average of .175". Not much, but these were at least double from the previous run.