Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm

[packfan98]

For historical purposes in how bad the NAM was for this storm, here is the final run before showtime.

 

[GarnerNC]

Small flakes beginning to fall here

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

3k

 

[norcarolinian]

WWA now for Guilford and Davidson.

 

[Ollie Williams]

WWA now for Guilford and Davidson.

 

[GarnerNC]

Small flakes beginning to fall here

Pretty light and inconsistent but they're definitely there.

 

[$alt]

Looks like the timing for 850s to crash for the Midlands is about 4 hours from now.. between 7-8pm so expect sleet/zr i spose' with this early stuff

 

[MSnowAtl]

I can believe it, ceilings are really low

I have rain...snow to NW...hoping for some flurries!

 

[Shadow of the Apps]

Love to see it
View attachment 109255

First time I have seen the heavier bands showing up in the west, any model showing it back west has been light bands up till now. That along with the radar showing the moisture flow back in TN should be good news later this afternoon/evening for the mountains, foothills, and down into the upstate.

 

[packfan98]

WWA now for Guilford and Davidson.

Upgraded Montgomery and Anson to Winter Storm Warnings as well.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Ok yep a single snowflake just hit me

 

[Anna]

Graupel in Harlem, Ga, sleeting in Hephzibah, Ga, a few snow flurries in North Augusta a couple of hours ago.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

 

[lexxnchloe]

For historical purposes in how bad the NAM was for this storm, here is the final run before showtime.
View attachment 109264
View attachment 109266

I notice on that it seems to increase snow in seva/ne nc and it expands further SW. Would that mean its possible totals might be underdone in central NC?

 

[packfan98]

I notice on that it seems to increase snow in seva/ne nc and it expands further SW. Would that mean its possible totals might be underdone in central NC?

Sure. It’s possible. Looks like the main axis of precip won’t get that far north though. We shall see.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

What radar is this? It’s showing up on TWC’s radar, but I’m not seeing this on RadarScope or COD nexrad radar.

EDIT: TWC radar attached below. Not seeing anything reaching the ground btw.

Storm Shield app. It’s definitely over-sensitive. I just use it to see the overview and use Radar Scope for accuracy.

 

[Stormdoc]

Little light snow here south of Raleigh

 

[jackendrickwx]

Baby flakes

 

[griteater]

18z 1km NAM loop

 

[Chazwin]

View attachment 109265Upping totals ?

and GSP say I their discussion that they are going with 10-13:1 ratios… I really believe this is a deal and the soundings support it, that we should see 17-20:1 ratios