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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm

Way to premature to say that View attachment 108693
Yep, it was just after that timeframe that the RDPS and GFS "exploded" with precip and the NAM is just now starting to develop more precip westward, might not get it done on this run but it is definitely an improvement
 
It’s shocking to me how different the RGEM was compared to the NAM at 06z. For the Triangle, it was the different berween a 6-8” big dog (WOOF) and zilch. Makes for a hard forecast. Insane.
 
If we were already on the line we'd be cliff diving and moving on with this shift, this is pretty big NW jump

View attachment 108696
Notice the LP position. It moves further east actually for 12z. What looks to be happening is more amplification of the system throwing more moisture back to the west.

edit: Again the LP position could just be more of a timing thing from last run. System moving faster?
 
If we were already on the line we'd be cliff diving and moving on with this shift, this is pretty big NW jump

View attachment 108696

Really its just coming back into the fold from lala land so to speak and getting back to were literally every single other model is more or less....
 
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