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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
Cary_Snow95
Member
I mean the NAM and RAP are duds. The gfs has cut totals by 80%. Everything is going the same direction
The RAP has been really bad…I used to look at it but it’s awful. The HRRR has been usable and was pretty good for Sundays deal.
SouthGarnerSleet
Member
Don’t bother. Half the group jumped off the cliff at the 18z NAM and GFS. Weenieville.
snowlover91
Member
18z CMC was improved from the 12z run, looks like it and ICON were the only 2 improvements in the 18z cycle.
Basically my thinking
Yes I think a lot on here will be happy with any snow falling from the sky ? and there is certainly still a chance of that for a lot of folks
To my surprise FFC still has wintry precip in the forecast grid for my area from Thursday night into Saturday. I figured they would have removed it completely by now. Their afternoon disco suggested they’re concerned for freezing drizzle regardless once the arctic air settles in behind the front tomorrow.
snowlover91
Member
RGEM 18z ensembles. Looks like a mix between whiffs and stronger ICON like scenarios. I counted 12/20 that were solid NC hits and the remaining 8/20 are either coastal only or whiffs.
Downeastnc
Member
Yeah Brad P has scaled back his totals from earlier today as well. Still has 1-2” inches for areas south of I-85 and east of I-77 in the metro area then Trace-1” north and west of there. He says that things can still shift either way
snowlover91
Member
Didn't see it posted by 18z GEFS was worse, much worse. Not going to even bother posting it is so bad.
mjscott30
Member
Looks like BMX has backed off of the freezing rain for MTGY. I'm happy about that. I wasn't looking forward to an icy commute. Sorry about the snow for you NC people.
One thing that this has done today is reaffirmed my preference that a good old southern slider overrunning set up is always preferable than having to depend on phasing
NCSNOW
Member
- Joined
- Dec 2, 2016
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Classic fail. Never forgetI think this was a home Panthers game where Cantore showed up? I was in the stands and got a sun burnFootball and a snowstorm in the south? Game on. Nope.
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
here’s the latest run. It’s running again now and will post that when it’s finished. 
Attachments
Yes it was… 8-12” forecast the night before. It had been cut down to 3-5” by morning. I was at the game too… when I left my house in Concord about 8am to go start tailgating, there was very light snow starting and thought this was about to fun, but by the time I got to downtown the sun was starting to come outI think this was a home Panthers game where Cantore showed up? I was in the stands and got a sun burn
Downeastnc
Member
18Z Ukie......
