Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Looks pretty similar to me. No big changes

Southern stream looks further north and stronger through 30 to me.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Northern stream still trending east quicker

 

[iGRXY]

We will see where it goes but the SW looks better as it's not getting stretched and is better consolidated to be phased. Whether one actually happens is a different story

 

[Cary_Snow95]

It’s gonna be a worse run

 

[Cary_Snow95]

View attachment 108364
We will see where it goes but the SW looks better as it's not getting stretched and is better consolidated to be phased. Whether one actually happens is a different story

To me though it seems the ns still moving east and leaving it behind

 

[iGRXY]

NAM is also much drier with the initial front at 36

 

[iGRXY]

Yeah this run is likely going to be bad again.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

This run is atrocious. Token flakes

 

[Downeastnc]

long range hrrr throwing us a bone. i will take any hope i can find right now.

I need that SN/IP line to hold and go south from there....friggen 22 at the surface WTF lol....wonder if it will stick

 

[iGRXY]

Cold push is much better which should tell you the N/S is too far out ahead. only way it's going to work is the N/S diggs to the SW more or our SW has got to kick east at least around the southern border near Brownsville

 

[Stormsfury]

Just throwing this out there ... WPC map

 

[DopplerWx]

at 45 the hrrr had precip back near lancaster in sc. nam has it barely in myrtle.

 

[superjames1992]

This run is atrocious. Token flakes

LOL, it isn’t far enough to say that yet…Not looking great, mind you, but still. First wave is definitely a no go, but let’s see about the main wave.

 

[iGRXY]

Eastern NC gets a whole bunch of nothing through 45

 

[DopplerWx]

at 48 the precip is barely on the obx. was near raleigh at 12z. good grief.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

NAM sucks

 

[superjames1992]

Eastern NC gets a whole bunch of nothing through 45

Yes, like the 06z run, which was a big hit with the second wave, regardless. I’m not sure why we are freaking out over the first wave? The second wave is where our bread will be buttered…or not. I don’t think this is going to be a good run, but still.

 

[iGRXY]

I know the NAM has had issues showing precip and being too dry since the upgrade but this is ridiculous.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Watch the NS. We’ve got to stop that trend

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Haven’t seen a storm go to hell so fast since January 2017.