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Wintry 01/28-29/2022 Winter Weather Potential

One thing I am noticing is a trend to occlude the low ESE of Cape May and closer to the coast. The models don't know where to park the low, massive difference in impacts. Even here, 3km NAM shows it getting stacked close enough to throw some moisture back through the northern Coastal Plain. .

significant difference in 12z Euro vs HRW FV3 handling of SLP

prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_ma.png

ref1km_ptype.us_ma.png
 
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