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Wintry 01/28-29/2022 Winter Weather Potential

there is going to be a little bit of randomization where the low forms- any burst of convection now could generate enough pv/latent heat release to have influence where the low eventually forms.

we keyed on convective feedback issues with storms way west and hey, vibe check, we were right.
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there's some stuff south of bermuda but i don't see that having much influence.

not really too interested in the convective snow- not staying up til 2 to see it. i've seen thundersnow (late feb 2015) so that bucket list item is already checked off. on to the next
 
So weenie question here but while we don’t want to see a ton of sun to keep temps down, wouldn’t a little be helpful to destabilize the atmosphere for the ULL later on?
 
If this varifies over Gaston County I'll buy the GFS a bottle of Buffalo Trace! ? View attachment 111239
Vertical motion looks good in Gaston County!

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