LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Still thinking 1-3 here in Roanoke. Better than nothing.
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Wintry 01/28-29/2022 Winter Weather Potential
- Thread starter Shawn
- Start date
Now that’s consistency
Noice
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Rap says I’m under this band for 2-3 hours dropping 3.5 inches total. Interesting.
Not with that low placement ?
Stormsfury
Member
Yeah, exactly... It seems like there are multiple low centers and the GFS continues to be confused on which one should be the primary. I've seen this same thing going on with multiple mesoscale and globals. Lots of confusion ongoing. Reminds me of what we dealt with on the January 2018 bombogenesis that occurred..
Considering I’m not currently living on a boat offshore I don’t mind.
Fair but that could be key as to why maybe the RGEM and a few other models are trying to bring precip further west with the coastal threat may or may not end up being relevant in the end
? Jet
Shaggy
Member
Wonder if that's got any chance of making a difference at such a late hour with this thing only 24 to 36 hours away.
Shaggy
Member
okay that was what i was wondering is when it would be ingested. Guess that leaves us suckers for punishment one last hope for some last minute surprises starting at 06Z
Charlotte has lost the band on the 00z Euro. Now it looks like Burlington is the place to be.
Tbh this looks great for the night before .. 1-2 inches for everyone with someone who will be lucky with banding .. it’s like we’re all playing the lottery .. some of us will win our money back and some will cash in big! 
Over 40” for Boston. Their all-time record is 27.6” back on Presidents Day weekend 2003.
Shaggy
Member
I remember last week when the models.were painting 20-30 for parts of NC. Someone always stealing our snow.
Shaggy
Member
Hrrr continuing the trend of bouncing the low around off the SE coast trying to decide which one becomes dominate
I was in Dover, MA for that, which is ~20mi SW of Boston. It was epic! The following year got to catch a 20" storm there. If you ever have the chance get a front row seat for a Nor'easter, totally worth it!!
Shaggy
Member
Mhx sounds confident.
Forecast challenges remain with the snow
potential of this coastal low with many factors fully reliant on
the timing and rapid intensification of this coastal low, both
factors of which are notoriously difficult to model. The general
evolution for this system has the upper level trough becoming
more amplified as it digs across the Southeast, allowing for
rapid deepening of the coastal low. Trough becomes more
negatively tilted Sat morning and begins to lift across the Mid
Atlantic seaboard. Strong CAA on the back side of the low will
allow for overnight temps to drop across the FA and help
transition rain to snow by early Sat AM and continuing through
the mid to late morning hours.
Forecast challenges remain with the snow
potential of this coastal low with many factors fully reliant on
the timing and rapid intensification of this coastal low, both
factors of which are notoriously difficult to model. The general
evolution for this system has the upper level trough becoming
more amplified as it digs across the Southeast, allowing for
rapid deepening of the coastal low. Trough becomes more
negatively tilted Sat morning and begins to lift across the Mid
Atlantic seaboard. Strong CAA on the back side of the low will
allow for overnight temps to drop across the FA and help
transition rain to snow by early Sat AM and continuing through
the mid to late morning hours.
hrrr still looking good at the end ??
