Heelyes
Member
Someone unplug the nam, it's time.
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Wintry 01/28-29/2022 Winter Weather Potential
- Thread starter Shawn
- Start date
FV3 has better resolution and scales with increased computer resources, this will be an early test, very large gap inside day 2.
Interesting to note almost all models I can see right now show minimal coverage of what’s going on around Kentucky .. more moisture than models seeing right now could mean more moisture for us down the road
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
The 3K starts the precip in the Triad much sooner, like around 5pm. It depicts snow every hour here for the next 12 hours but the clown maps don't reflect much accumulation. Strange. I was expecting something like the FV3 maps.
lexxnchloe
Member
If the gfs makes the same adjustment the nam did then NE NC could easily outdo last weeks storm.
Don’t see many ping reports of ground truth though
Some of the CAMs are west with the band, some models are east with it, a few are in between
Nomanslandva
Member
Fro, are you running for office? Haha, seriously I feel like this could be just another shaft. I have been waiting for your RAP post to keep my weeniie hopes alive though.
That first shot with the coastal is interesting to me. Let's see if anything else supports it
Might as well stay up 15 more minutes. I've seen that band near Gboro show up on several models today. Pretty consistent.
HDGator
Member
The Euro, GFS, NAM and HRR all seem to have it starting into the Triad around 5-7pm with snow for most of the night. The 0z HRRR appears to show some much heavier precip with the onset vs. the NAM; but it still only leaves us with 1"-2" in the Triad. I'm not sure if we'll see more. it seems the past two events overperformed vs. 24h-36h out models. My memory tends towards rose colored glasses; so I'll stick with the higher hopes.
At least we'll have the ground temps working for us; I still have foot plus piles of iced up sleet from two weeks ago. But those sun angles...
Yeah looks good. Precip maxes all over the place, depending on your model of choice. At least you can go to bed now with that image in mind.
Beaut