Snippet from MHX’s overnight AFD
“
Accumulation amounts remain notably uncertain, dependent on the track and timing of the low offshore and, perhaps to a greater extent, the character of the aforementioned weak inland troughing, which could abate
CAA and limit the wrap-around
moisture transport, limiting accumulation totals. Unfortunately, not much confidence increase in how these features will behave since the last forecast update, with a nearly persistent snowfall accumulation forecast mainly 2-3 inches across the US Hwy 64/264 corridor trending to little to no accumulation south of New Bern, which is representative of a blend of the models which seem to be resolving the rapidly
deepening offshore low the best. A Winter Storms
Watch has been issued for the these counties along US Hwy 64/264 given the potential for 3 inches of accumulation, with locally higher amounts possible. It is also worth noting that, dependent on how long the snowfall persists into the day Saturday as the
gradient is tightening along the Northern Outer Banks,
Blizzard conditions of gusts > 35 mph and falling snow combining to reduce visibilities to 1/4 mile or less are possible at times”