Stormsfury
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Wintry 01/28-29/2022 Winter Weather Potential
- Thread starter Shawn
- Start date
iGRXY
Member
NAM was worse at H5 but the surface reflection is all out of wack. It still tries to pump a ton of moisture back towards the eastern Carolinas while underselling the ULL driven stuff back towards the western Carolinas. Even the 3K NAM doesn’t look anything like the 12K.
Shaggy
Member
Mhx issued a WSW for 2-3 and as high as 4 inches for my area.
Woof 
All Models are locked in the this band… not often you get so much agreement on a mesoscale band 
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Also, those bands are typically stronger than modeled .
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Latest rap has over 4 inches in spots in that band getting close to 5 lol, Charlotte gets that lucky pivot
Here was the 00z euro also 
This sounding lord have mercy.
I’m still skeptical about that dry clot .. also we’re still 1-2 days away here there is room for changesCan see why the Euro wants nothing to do with the SLP precip extending west.
The very thing that is going to dump snow on CLT is killing RDU’s chance at coastal snow. ?
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iGRXY
Member
Best shot for snow at this point for most is going to be the pivoting ULL band. Luckily these things are usually more widespread with precip and have heavier returns within them. I think 2-4” is going to be a strong possibility from GSP to CLT to GSO and yes even down towards Columbia (especially the northern suburbs) as it stand a right now.
Parts of the midlands will get smoked based on h500 / 700mb. too bad it will be 35F.
NCSNOW
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For what its worth rest of 6z suite: GFS, FV3 which only goes out to 60 are knocking on the door step of warning criteria snowfall: Assuming its 3 inches in 6 hours In parts of Triad.
Be nice to squeeze about 3-4 out. I still think the coastal guys, especially from SD/Met over to G-Vegas crowd and down to Wilm can score big here. Definitely our Elizabeth City / SE VA posters. It really only takes one little nudge for these guys and jury is gonna be out till it unfolds tomorrow.
"Game of Inches" as they say in football , applies to chasing this soon to be phased storm for the Coastal plain/far NE piedmont crowd.
Be nice to squeeze about 3-4 out. I still think the coastal guys, especially from SD/Met over to G-Vegas crowd and down to Wilm can score big here. Definitely our Elizabeth City / SE VA posters. It really only takes one little nudge for these guys and jury is gonna be out till it unfolds tomorrow.
"Game of Inches" as they say in football , applies to chasing this soon to be phased storm for the Coastal plain/far NE piedmont crowd.
Oh 
