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Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

18z GFS.....produces 2 storms at the tail of a front....it doesn't do anything with it, but we've been here before.

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Dawgdaze22 said:
What’s spinning off Florida’s east coast?


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Click to expand...

What's left of Sally and a front

got a mention in the TWO

A small low pressure system is located near a frontal boundary, just
off the eastern coast of central Florida. The low is producing a
small area of thunderstorms near the coast, and recent buoy and
satellite-derived wind data indicate that gale-force winds are
occuring in the area. The low is expected to move inland over
Florida later this morning, and significant development is not
anticipated. For more information on this system, please see local
products and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
 
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00z Icon.....4 runs......another dropping off Africa end of next week. Euro picked up on it in 00z overnight.


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A small low pressure system has moved inland over the south-central
Florida peninsula and is located just to the northwest of Lake
Okeechobee. Although shower activity is currently disorganized, some
development could occur when the low moves westward over the eastern
Gulf of Mexico later tonight and on Monday. However, by late Tuesday
or Wednesday, upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable
for tropical cyclone formation while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at about 10 mph. For more information on this
disturbance, please see local products and High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
 
18z Icon.....and 6th run with popup in gulf next week.

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18z GFS......has this little circle in the gulf that does nothing....

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Brent said:
The Florida thing is down to 0/0 lmao
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I would have kept it as a 10 or even 20% ? for the next 48 hours as upper winds/shear look pretty light and SSTs are warm. Also, a number of models show a weak reflection of this at the surface moving well out into the GOM. It likely won’t get to TD status, but I don’t think it is close to 0% either. But I respect the NHC.

*Corrected
 
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