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Pattern April Showers

Geez the back having of the first week of April looks cold ugh

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Put me in the camp of being ready for pleasant weather please. This March has gone pretty much as expected, 40N is a winter wonderland, CLT is a cold rain paradise.

I could do without rain in general for a while as well. What happened to Nina's being dry? Lol.
 
the Euro actually had snow here...:rolleyes:

Some of the EPS members are record breaking cold. In April. The all-time record low is only 29
 
We’re entering the heart of the tornado season in central NC, there’s usually a huge ramp up right near the end of March and we peak in/around mid April. Probably won’t be long before something substantial shows up
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Webberweather53 said:
We’re entering the heart of the tornado season in central NC, there’s usually a huge ramp up right near the end of March and we peak in/around mid April. Probably won’t be long before something substantial shows up
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Not always I would think. Maybe we can skip a major outbreak even out there this year. Running quite low so far for the entire year.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Not always I would think. Maybe we can skip a major outbreak even out there this year. Running quite low so far for the entire year.
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Certainly not always but it's only late March, April and May are the peak months for severe and we've been in a cold pattern since the end of February and we still were able to come away w/ a MDT in northern AL. We're at the equivalent to July in the hurricane season, we have 90% of the tornado season left to go nationally and most of it will occur in the next several weeks. Even if we kept this same chilly pattern going forward, big intrusions of cold air can eventually turn against us later in the spring (mid-late Apr) as our climo becomes warm enough to augment enough CAPE almost regardless of what's thrown at us.
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I thought March and April were the peak months for severe in the deep south ? By May its usually very summer like with those pop up afternoon storms. Jet stream is usually pretty far north in May.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
I thought March and April were the peak months for severe in the deep south ? By May its usually very summer like with those pop up afternoon storms. Jet stream is usually pretty far north in May.
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April, May, and June are usually the peak for all severe weather types in the south, depending on where u go it may be one month or the other, but April and May w/ March not being far behind, are typically most favorable for tornadoes in the south. By about late May we certainly enter the summer-like barotropic environment w/ pulse thunderstorms dominating the pattern from day-to-day.
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Birmingham & Huntsville tornado climatology.
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Columbia, SC tornado climatology
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Atlanta, GA tornado climatology.

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SoutheastRidge said:
I thought March and April were the peak months for severe in the deep south ? By May its usually very summer like with those pop up afternoon storms. Jet stream is usually pretty far north in May.
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May is certainly the peak here although April is no slouch either

Usually were not in a summer pattern til early June
 
ForsythSnow said:
Simple. It's hour 222, bound to change drastically. Let's watch it warm up because it's spring. I'm sure you don't want a 4th dessert after 2 was enough nor does anyone else want NC to have more. I'm ready for some warmer weather but not tornadoes and hurricanes. Definitely not after last year.
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It's baaacckk. :confused:
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ForsythSnow said:
No. I refuse to accept that Fake News. LOL. It will be gone by 0Z tonight. I guarantee it.
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If it's not gone by the 0z run tonight and/or reappears within the next few days I'm blaming you for this :p.

SD said:
Its amazing. Have to scratch and claw between December and February to get anything close. Start looking for spring can't miss it ]
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Tell me about it. 1914-15 was literally that kind of winter. After seeing a big dog in mid November, we scratched and clawed for anything in DJF and saw nothing of significance until we thought winter was beyond over, then came late March and April w/ back-to-back big dogs...
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I can see this summer taking on the classic TN valley, KY, MS, AL wet/flood zone, like setting up this week and the SE ridge keeping the Carolinas toasty and dry!
 
Webberweather53 said:
If it's not gone by the 0z run tonight and/or reappears within the next few days I'm blaming you for this :p.



Tell me about it. 1914-15 was literally that kind of winter. After seeing a big dog in mid November, we scratched and clawed for anything in DJF and saw nothing of significance until we thought winter was beyond over, then came late March and April w/ back-to-back big dogs...
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Speaking of the Easter 1915 snowstorm, here's an album of pictures from it if anyone was interested. https://www.flickr.com/photos/north-carolina-state-archives/sets/72157658023536942
 
Do you think the below normal temperatures will persist through May and last into the beginning of Met summer?
 
Webberweather53 said:
If it's not gone by the 0z run tonight and/or reappears within the next few days I'm blaming you for this :p.



Tell me about it. 1914-15 was literally that kind of winter. After seeing a big dog in mid November, we scratched and clawed for anything in DJF and saw nothing of significance until we thought winter was beyond over, then came late March and April w/ back-to-back big dogs...
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Holy hell that April storm was a beast

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The longer we can hold off summer the better. And when it does come it will be sudden which didn’t used to be that way years ago. I remember as a kid not getting hot until mid June. Summer starts in early May these days. I was living near the beach back then which get hot a bit later.


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I got 2.75" yesterday.. have a small lake in the front yard but otherwise.. its all good. Noticed on the radar yesterday, at one point rain extended from Mexico to Maine! big cold front!
 
Where is Shetley? He ought to be quite pleased with the precipitation we've had over the last little while.
 
Rain Cold said:
Where is Shetley? He ought to be quite pleased with the precipitation we've had over the last little while.
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I think he only makes a post in summer and when there is a drought. :cool:
 
GaStorm said:
I think he only makes a post in summer and when there is a drought. :cool:
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Ugh on drought tracking. Sometimes it's wet, sometimes it's dry. When it's dry, that's ok. Just wait and it'll be wet later. It all evens out eventually. Unless the city imposes water restrictions, it ain't a drought! lol.
 
SnowNiner said:
Ugh on drought tracking. Sometimes it's wet, sometimes it's dry. When it's dry, that's ok. Just wait and it'll be wet later. It all evens out eventually. Unless the city imposes water restrictions, it ain't a drought! lol.
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No doubt! We have come a long way since last year for both rain and snow in several areas. Hoping we see lake levels stay high leading up to summer.
 
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Please..I BEG... No rain, No stinkin wind, no severe and nope..NOT EVEN SNOW! 6 months now in this POS house and only the foundation done on the new one! Framing is next... I beg and pray..carry on.
 
Tarheel1 said:
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What a joke. The guy expects us to look at fantasy model runs that clearly are out of view, and doesn't even mention that it isn't likely. Hiding the hour in the picture. Also, any smart person who watches trends sees how fast each run is shifting that line north. In addition, it's beyond 180 that even happens. On top of that, it's the control alone.
 
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