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Tropical Hurricane Isaias

Basically brunt forced itself to a major it seems. Impressive. (Was a little early with what I deleted and am honestly going off presentation here)

Still have some of the hurricane models running but the HMON/HWRF suggest a peak in the upper 950’s.
 
gonna be close....looks good for now, this is going to be a pretty small intense core, hurricane winds are only forecast to be 40 miles or so across but on the east side there could be hurricane force gust along the coast out a good 75 miles or so.

A baby Dennis of sorts, it actually made landfall as a major but the hurricane wind field was very small and weakened to a TS in sw Alabama.
 
Feels like we are on in middle of a pendulum with this storm right now waiting for a swing one way or another. It has definitely got it's act together over yesterday afternoon and night. It's very healthy looking right now and right at Cat 3 broadline. It still looks to strengthen over the next few hours. The stronger it gets before any shear impact coming into shore this afternoon the chances it holds together adjusts impact and the more pop it has at landfall definitely has a substantial downstream impact further inland.
 
...ISAIAS ON THE CUSP OF MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH... ...PREPARATIONS WITHIN THE STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WARNING AREAS SHOULD BE COMPLETED WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...

7:00 AM CDT Fri Oct 09
Location: 27.0°N 87.7°W
Moving: NNE at 15 mph
Min pressure: 958 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph
 
There it is

Hurricane Isaias Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092026
720 AM CDT Fri Oct 09 2026

...ISAIAS BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE...

Just-received data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft indicate that Isaias has strengthened to a major hurricane
with maximum sustained winds of 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher
gusts. The minimum central pressure measured from a dropsonde is
959 mb (28.32 inches).
 
The eye being massaged

GOES19-GA-13-1000x1000.gif
 
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