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Wintry Machine Learning Mauler 1/30-2/1

This is the 24 hour snowfall map from the NWS. It’d be interesting to see how some of the late week modeling matched up with this.


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I can tell you at least here the heaviest band of snow in ne ga ended up being a bit east of most of the models..by about 20 to 30 miles or so but the overall feature was shown well. A few new 6 and 7 inch reports have come in east of athens. An 8 inch report up in Stephen's County too.

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Looks like GSO out-ratioed RDU, too.

GSO gets 10.3" of SN on 0.42" of liquid on 1/31 - 24.5:1 snow-to-liquid ratio.
RDU gets 2.8" of SN on 0.18" of liquid on 1/31 - 15.6:1 snow-to-liquid ratio. Of course, RDU did get a little more snow after midnight, but doubt it made a huge difference in calculating the ratio.

Give RDU the same ratio as GSO and we're talking ~4.5" of SN there instead of 2.8".
 
Annual snow day Mexican!
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I noticed Tampa, FL hit 30 degrees last night. I am pretty sure the official reporting station is at the airport, which is right on the bay, so that's pretty impressive. Orlando dropped to 24 and was reporting a temperature of 35 degrees at noon! Tallahassee hit 22. Miami hit 35 last night, which I think ties it for the coldest temperature recorded since the late 1980s (they also hit 35 in 2010, I believe), and was just 47 at noon! 2010's cold snap was longer duration than this one seems like it's going to be, though.

Some low temperature reports from South Florida. Looks like a lot of 20s once you get away from the coasts in South Florida. Some historic numbers:

 
DrizzleSnizzle Sun angle doing the devil’s work today View attachment 193258

Yeah, I'm surprised, but I just got the news that my work is going to be on a slightly delayed start tomorrow. Main road that I'm close to is well on the way to being fine (especially considering that it's still a little windy and that may dry out many wet spots). Shrug.

I'm almost thinking that this was higher ratio snow than last year's was as it seems like it's melting a tick quicker.

I was perusing through stuff this morning and one local met actually thinks there was lake effect snow off the nearby lake and that may have had me hang on even longer than I had thought (though I wasn't looking close enough to be sure).
 
After that start, I wasn’t even sure a flake was possible. Decent consolation price but understandably tough after some of those big runs heading into this thing

I mentioned this a few days...Raleigh never jackpots but we always in the game with these little 1-3" events. Not the worst problem I guess. But yesterday was super frustrating seeing it pounding snow literally everywhere in NC besides that 50 mile diameter around Wake County.
 
Snow quickly melting already. February sun angle doing work
Yeah...my street already clear and almost dry. 2" melts quickly when it's .1" of precip. Im not sure why I even wasted my time shoveling my driveway earlier.
 
Yeah, I'm surprised, but I just got the news that my work is going to be on a slightly delayed start tomorrow. Main road that I'm close to is well on the way to being fine (especially considering that it's still a little windy and that may dry out many wet spots). Shrug.

I'm almost thinking that this was higher ratio snow than last year's was as it seems like it's melting a tick quicker.

I was perusing through stuff this morning and one local met actually thinks there was lake effect snow off the nearby lake and that may have had me hang on even longer than I had thought (though I wasn't looking close enough to be sure).
Athens airport around 4 inches ( i think based on a nearby 4.5 report but the airport total is missing)while the airport recorded just 0.14 liquid so that gives a snow ratio of 28 to 1.. which is insane.
 
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Annual snow day Mexican!
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For some reason Corned Beef hash became our snow day meal years ago. Back in 2011 everything was closed except the dollar general and I grabbed a can. Now every time that is what we eat with some hot sauce and fried eggs.
 
For some reason Corned Beef hash became our snow day meal years ago. Back in 2011 everything was closed except the dollar general and I grabbed a can. Now every time that is what we eat with some hot sauce and fried eggs.
My traditional snow day food is a banana sandwich on white with peanut butter and Dukes mayonnaise. When I was growing up and we would be out of school for snow, my sister and I would always stay my grandma’s while our parents worked. That’s what she would make us for lunch.
 
This dry snow is compacting like crazy under full sun and becoming perfect snowman snow. All the roads they are trying to clear going to become ice rinks when we get down to single digits tonight.
Yeah that’s what it’s like here. It’s packing down to make for some awesome sledding. My wife, my youngest son, and I walked over to the a shaded hill about a block away and there was definitely a crowd over. I couldn’t help but to take couple trips down the hill myself. It was a lot easier to get back up though 22 years ago… lol
 
So Ik this will be unpopular…. Reason 1A… ALL SNOW events suck slightly, got 14” of snow it’s already melting bc it needed atleast a little sleet and ice in it for staying power. It’s 31 degrees and disappearing


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My traditional snow day food is a banana sandwich on white with peanut butter and Dukes mayonnaise. When I was growing up and we would be out of school for snow, my sister and I would always stay my grandma’s while our parents worked. That’s what she would make us for lunch.
My Sunday lunch staple growing up was banana and mayo. People at work look at me funny when I fix one now.
 
Interesting that Charlotte has more one-footers than Greensboro, although not particularly surprising with how each place gets their storms. Just not what you would expect on a quick glance at the snowfall averages.

Charlotte is like that CFB team that will be 4-8 forever then out of nowhere once a decade go 12-2 and win a conference title and make the CFP. Then the next year they’re Mid - Bad again. GSO imo is the James Franklins of the world …. Always a winning record but rarely enough for you to look up and notice anything crazy but they’re always 9-3 / 10-2 every single year and no one even notices


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I wish I could describe to you guys what that snow squall was like yesterday. I’ve got some theories on why it was so instense at my location. But I think these pictures do it justice.
In picture 1: you are looking at the end of my driveway/treeline which is 120 yards away during the most intense snowfall from the main band, the meat of of the storm, I would have described this as heavy snow.. it produced more than one inch in an hour and this was the heaviest part of it. Video taken at 10:35am, notice how bright it is.

In picture 2 and 3: you’re looking at the same exact location at the end of my driveway, 120 yards away. This was during the squall… it was insane! Also had 40mph gusts, and almost black out dark conditions at 12:05pm. It was complete weenie euphoria for me.

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Charlotte is like that CFB team that will be 4-8 forever then out of nowhere once a decade go 12-2 and win a conference title and make the CFP. Then the next year they’re Mid - Bad again. GSO imo is the James Franklins of the world …. Always a winning record but rarely enough for you to look up and notice anything crazy but they’re always 9-3 / 10-2 every single year and no one even notices


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And then you have Raleigh which never has a 10 inch winter in 20+ years, just like NC State hasn't had a 10 win season in 20+ years. Just like under Dave Doeren, they never win anything big.
 
I wish I could describe to you guys what that snow squall was like yesterday. I’ve got some theories on why it was so instense at my location. But I think these pictures do it justice.
In picture 1: you are looking at the end of my driveway/treeline which is 120 yards away during the most intense snowfall from the main band, the meat of of the storm, I would have described this as heavy snow.. it produced more than one inch in an hour and this was the heaviest part of it. Video taken at 10:35am, notice how bright it is.

In picture 2 and 3: you’re looking at the same exact location at the end of my driveway, 120 yards away. This was during the squall… it was insane! Also had 40mph gusts, and almost black out dark conditions at 12:05pm. It was complete weenie euphoria for me.

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Glen burns had a highlighted area where snow squalls were possible yesterday and you were right there around it. Sick
 
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