I went with 10.1 inches for Charlotte earlier in the forecast contest. That would be the 7th biggest storm at CLT since 1930.
We'll see how it goes, but this is what I liked:
1. Strong upper wave bottoming out in the trough - that's when fireworks go off
2. Mid-level lows are closed and 'spinny' as they track across SC
3. Upstate mesolow formation and associated mid-level convergence
4. Highly anomalous soundings with very cold profiles, deep dendrite growth zone (DGZ), and mid-level frontogenesis co-located in the DGZ
The last holdout to me was the QPF inching up on the modeling, and I thought what we saw today was noteworthy. Good luck to all!
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