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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

Finally made it to 33 this morning after staying right at freezing this whole night, everything is still encased in ice as the slow thaw begins.


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Really cool vis sat this morning locally. Northwest flow upslope underway in the mountains, sleet on the ground in the Carolinas and GA. If you look really closely you can see South Mountains just barely sticking out as more green than white, that little extra elevation took them above freezing before nearby foothills
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Easier to see on the snow/ice band. You can really make out the Blue Ridge Escarpment in NC and northwestern SC!
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Ended up getting power back about an hour ago. Had a 50 ft tree come down in the back yard but away from the house thankfully. Weirdly didnt even hear come down mustve uprooted and fell slowly
 
I want to give a couple disclaimers quickly. I have not focused as much on central NC and have lower confidence in that area. It wouldn't shock me if the northern Foothills found a way to sleet longer and didn't make it to 0.3", but they just as easily can exceed that. I have not focused as much on GA or Raleigh or eastern NC/SC and do not want to provide a forecast that may be ill-informed. That said, here is my take on the ZR potential today into tomorrow for primarily western NC and SC:

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I would consider this an abnormally low confidence forecast. There will be more valley/peak variance in NC than this map indicates but I didn't get into the weeds on that. Generally expect lower accretion in interior WNC valleys, especially further south.

It would not surprise me if the Upstate got more like a general half inch, but the upper range of my forecast is absolutely doable.

As for sleet, low confidence, but generally expecting an inch or so along I-85, 1-2" north TO I-40, and 2-3" north OF I-40. Let's hope that low level cold wins out and "all" we manage is 0.3-0.5".
F. D+ at best. Way too aggressive. This one will eat at me for a little bit
 
F. D+ at best. Way too aggressive. This one will eat at me for a little bit

Yeah I mean I can't complain here but if I've ever seen an oh what could have been it was this storm haha

I mean don't get me wrong we had our average snowfall in one storm which has happened in 3 out of 5 winters I've been here but we could have blown away every record instead according to the models. It's still nagging me a bit haha

I also hate the GFS had more the right idea all along
 
I'm slowly but surely starting to grind through all these maps for this winter storm. Finally finished up the ice accumulation map for NC

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Thanks for this! Got more icing accrual here than I realized! Surprised we didn’t have more power issues!
 
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