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Misc General Banter Thread

The all mighty weathernext has been trending east for like 8 runs now. It had a lot of Alabama in a 1-2 inch range just a couple days ago. Godspeed to those of yall to the east. I hope it doesn’t go OTS but this is just fitting for what we all deal with every time. Such a painful hobbby
 
High in the mid 20s here Saturday, 😂

Coldest week in years and I got to see some dandruff flakes yesterday. Great hobby here 😑

Turkey season can’t come soon enough. Gatlinburg isn’t even getting good snow so far this year.

I saw this yesterday. It's crazy. I'm looking at the snowy spots I went on vacation last few years... There's no snow! I mean look at Salt Lake City and Boise!!!FB_IMG_1769431288491.jpg
 
People were getting excited over the CMC. It had me getting to 67 last weekend with severe storms 😂

Yeah we have to remember the CMC and UK were really far north/amped with the last system...UK in particular was egregiously amped before trending back south. I don't know...models are just so hard to trust right now.

Anyways, looking more and more like Atlanta might be out completely but ill give it until probably 12z tomorrow.
 
People are gonna be coming at Kylo with pitchforks. I’m out of hopium, sometimes you gotta look in the mirror and look at the past. Stupid!
 
High in the mid 20s here Saturday, 😂

Coldest week in years and I got to see some dandruff flakes yesterday. Great hobby here 😑

Turkey season can’t come soon enough. Gatlinburg isn’t even getting good snow so far this year.
It's time. Go ahead and transition to tornado season. We know that won't miss us.
 
We are so due for a bombed out Miller A working for us that I almost feel like this is destined to come back. Maybe not, but goodness gracious why can’t we have anything nice.
Weenie mode engaged:

The big ones always trend away at this point and then come back nw
 
Phased Miller A bombs like what may be coming this weekend have so many moving pieces to them that they all have to be in the right spot and in the right orientation to make it work properly.

Models, even the AI ones, are probably too underdispersed in how they’re handling everything

I remember Dec 2010 went from amped to then looking more suppressed at some point in the medium range only to make a hellacious comeback inside day 3. Long ways to go with this one

Yeah, it's going to be tough for me to do so with me not getting my normal sleep/maybe getting sick? but it might be best to just sit tight here for now.

I remember that bust pretty well still. Now granted my location was somewhere else from here on a Christmas trip we cut short (unrelated to the snow) and this probably can't come back to getting them this time (NW GA).
 
Weenie mode engaged:

The big ones always trend away at this point and then come back nw

You kid, but it’s not all that untrue. Almost all storms are “lost” in mid-range modeling before making a valiant comeback to one degree or another. And as has been discussed, this one has a ton of moving parts that are difficult to resolve. It may well be a snowstorm for the fish, but I am not writing it off yet.
 
You kid, but it’s not all that untrue. Almost all storms are “lost” in mid-range modeling before making a valiant comeback to one degree or another. And as has been discussed, this one has a ton of moving parts that are difficult to resolve. It may well be a snowstorm for the fish, but I am not writing it off yet.
Yep, just scares me google has steadily trended east the last 5-6 cycles.
 
I’m not even a little concerned about the euro.

Euro ai, gfs ai, weathernext all on top of each other and two of the 3 have been trending better.

The euro won’t score a victory here.
Man you can't be serious? All the heartbreak you've experienced over the last few years in the upstate and you still never give up. I admire you for that. But believe me, the Euro/ EPS can be on an island and be correct. It doesnt do well with CAD that's true. But it did nail the overall storm track last week at this range and those 60s and 70s surging north that nobody believed. This isn't in the same ballpark as that setup so it very well can be right here. If other guidance shifts to it today we're cooked.

Doesn't matter how good the pattern is or how cold it is. The sad truth is for the last 4 years we have a whole inch of sleet in the books. I'm well beyond frustrated at this point. It is ridiculous
 
Honestly I can't think of a storm that hasn't had a blip/worse trend at some point in a 7-day window before go time. Christmas storm was OTS for days before it ticked back west. I don't think it showed snow west of 95 until 48 hours out. Not saying this will trend better/is the same situation, but it was a Miller A also
 
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