wake4est
Member
- Joined
- Jan 3, 2017
- Messages
- 49
- Reaction score
- 119
I think GSP said their next update would include one.
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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
yea, and I expect that to continue, cad is always underestimated by models every time
The only thing with that is sometimes the gfs just goes down swinging alone in it's consistency and other times it corrects radically in the final few run stretches. Just would love for it to score and win solid this time.
accu35
Member
Squall line of freezing rain. Ale yeh. 
wow
Member
still quite a bit of spread there on the GEFS
I know I’m hounding on 02’ a lot today but I did some digging and GSP got down to 26 during the peak of that event. This one looks just as cold if not colder by a smidge and also a great deal wetter
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Still have some flat members in there.
doelman
Member
UKMET pumps central Alabama almost to 70 degrees...... wth?
SimeonNC
Member
It's most likely going to be colder.
wow
Member
Yeah it's still a option.. go back and look at last January's storm thread. Same thing with the energy hanging back west to try to phase in... It trended toward it then regressed some. The flat solution won.
When we're tracking northern stream energy only hoping for a storm we always say "dig you pig" and it does do just that at about this range and sucks us in. Then within 48 hrs it always loses some of that dig. At least thats what I've noticed. Based on that I think we've hit the ceiling with the north trend and will tick south a little. Probably not enough to get SC into anything as far as snow. But I'm not a smart man so take that for what it's worth
Still turns into an ice storm but I'll take any little step in the right direction we can get.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Bc it’s a major winter storm it’s finally something exciting first time since 2022. I just bought a 1K dollar Generator yesterday my life won’t change in the slightest so bring it let’s boogie
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NCSNOW
Member
Someone with pivotal plus, please pull the sounding up for GSO (pti airport) hour 105 and the next frame. Thats when monsoon rolls through on Mitch frame above. Fingers crossed thats a sleet sounding. be incredible.
jmills152077
Member
It's crazy we went from yesterday's 12z suite to now - a few rumbles of thunder in SE AL anyone?
SimeonNC
Member
The fact that the UK, a terrible model for CAD has that deep/pronounced of a CAD here should say something.
NCSNOW
Member
12z Ukmet is frozen throughout entire run. Warmest 2m temp at GSO looks like 25 degrees
Massive shift from stubborn model that hasnt swayed till just now
Massive shift from stubborn model that hasnt swayed till just now
Flash flooding at 24 degrees is crazy. All timer weather event about to unfold. Look at that precip maxima in northern Alabama..
you know our big winter weather events tend to have severe wx in florida. not even kidding here
accu35
Member
I notice a much flatter with these members past few runs, at least on the back side. Some of these members back side looks better then the front thump.
I just think its coming into reality. Some of those temps prior were not realistic. I would expect more corrections and less margins from NE to SW. Instead of 10 at the NC VA border its 24, and at the same time its 30-32 NE of Atlanta.
SimeonNC
Member
Also, this is obvi but heavy ZR rates like the UK shows is not efficient for accretion on power lines, trees, ect. so worst case scenario and NC is mainly ZR, that's a saving grace.
Won't stop the streets/sidewalk from becoming a skating rink though.
Won't stop the streets/sidewalk from becoming a skating rink though.
70 with a possible squall line of severe weather talk about a complete 180
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Lordhelmit
Member
Tsappfrog20
Member
That majority of that most likely for central nc is probably sleet
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Ugafanofweather
Member
WSBTV just said a winter storm watch will be issued for N GA within the next hour
Jesus lol can’t even get it down into Atlanta. I’m sure they will add to this as we go but sucks when it would’ve been a lock 24 hours ago
Been a long time since we've heard the good 'ol gulf storms robbing our moisture, we're due
To add to
By Saturday evening, the GEFS has zero panels not showing ZR and/or sleet into the Georgia CAD regions.
And, we have a few members ending with snow in the deep south with the approach of the reinforcing Arctic airmass. All within the next 5-days!
Sleep will be at a premium for the foreseeable future.
I was just looking at these panels. Dr. Monger is here to inoculate winter weather lovers in anticipation of the upcoming Dr. No run.
By Saturday evening, the GEFS has zero panels not showing ZR and/or sleet into the Georgia CAD regions.
And, we have a few members ending with snow in the deep south with the approach of the reinforcing Arctic airmass. All within the next 5-days!
Sleep will be at a premium for the foreseeable future.
snowlover91
Member
We are at the range where the RAP can be useful to see 5h changes with the NS wave. 15z run vs 9z is a big improvement.
WEATHERBOYROY
Member
That's exactly my hope.... been missing your input lately Storm5!
NEGaweather
Member
Well, we are under a winter storm watch here in Northeast Georgia till Monday
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Stormlover
Member
Tsappfrog20
Member
From Allan Huffman
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wow
Member
Take your time.. no rush or anything!
What should I be looking at here. That there seems to be more separation out west or the cold press in the east?