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Misc General Banter Thread

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Annual snow day Mexican!!


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You actually raise a pretty good point here, and this made me think about my past experiences.

1988 - Hart County Georgia
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93 Superstorm Hart County Georgia
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Blizzard of 96 - Avery County, NC
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Jan 2000 Ice and Snow Hart County GA - AJC
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Feb 2014 Columbia, SC

Dec 7-8 Cobb County, GA

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Those early 2000’s ice storms in the upstate are the standard. Scary stuff
 
Every model that bouncycorn stood next to and said “this is the best we got” is shrieking bloody murder

Let it take you weeks like the one we’re about to have is why we do this
Yep AIFS-ENS and WeatherNext *are* the best models we have. And were very consistent inside of 84 hours relative to other models (other than UKMET which scored the best with this system). Many in North Georgia, Alabama, and elsewhere had unwarranted hope based on inferior conventional models.
 
Looks like it's possible to not eject the wave to avoid a catastrophic ice storm

Fingers crossed
 
Any reason to track for those of us in Augusta, GA… especially considering the warm nose we got today. Augusta metro got into a warm bubble and never saw the all snow event


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Any reason to track for those of us in Augusta, GA… especially considering the warm nose we got today. Augusta metro got into a warm bubble and never saw the all snow event


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Sure

But in all honesty, I'm leaning wish it away or at least wish it colder aloft (the latter may be more attainable because we seem to be in a streak of the long-range getting colder if we're not in a ridgey pattern). We are overdue for a major ice storm and to be honest until it snowed last year (which I was fairly pleased with both storms), after we were blasted by Helene, I was beginning to think that other weather disasters may have replaced ice.

Had the baja low ejected on the 18z GFS, it was going to be snow to a gigantic mess ice wise, I think.
 
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Can someone tell me …. Setup , Pattern, Ensembles. Ik it’s 6 days out basically, but what would you say the chances we (NC) I-85 N/W completely whiff and end up all rain or dry no storm? lol like jus take a stab for me for fun


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Can someone tell me …. Setup , Pattern, Ensembles. Ik it’s 6 days out basically, but what would you say the chances we (NC) I-85 N/W completely whiff and end up all rain or dry no storm? lol like jus take a stab for me for fun


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Dry? Unlikely. Complete rain? Unlikely with a CAD signature like this. As far as exaclty what type of winter precip you get, nobody knows.
 
Keep it going tonight fam. If we are gonna lose this, let’s just lose it now. Otherwise, we got to lock this in over the next 48 hours. Hopefully I wake up to 5 pages at least.
I'd just stay up you know things is about to get real
 
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